RE: Disco19 Jan 2021 13:02
Chariot Oil and Gas , announced back in time the deployment of the Ocean Rig Poseidon to spud the Prospect S well in the Central Blocks licence offshore Namibia, less than a week after Tullow Oil went to town with the results of Cormorant-1 as a dry hole.
12 days later, the probe was announced a duster.
The well had been safely drilled to a total measured depth (MD) of 4,165 m to test the stacked targets in Prospect S. It penetrated the anticipated turbidite reservoir sands, in line with the pre-drill prognosis, however the reservoirs were water-bearing. “The data collected will be used to calibrate the existing data sets to understand the implications of the well results on the prospectivity of the surrounding area.”
The operator was in the process of plugging and abandoning the well as we went to press in early October 2018.
The structure on which the Prospect S was drilled is one of five dip-closed structural traps, totalling 1,758MMBbls gross mean prospective resources, which have been identified in the Upper Cretaceous turbidite clastic play fairway. The company had talked of a probability of geologic success of 29%, citing a Competent Persons Report by Netherland Sewell Associated Inc.
“A further two higher risk-reward, stratigraphic traps, totalling 885MMBbls gross mean prospective resources”, was to have been de-risked through the calibration of the 6,100km2 of proprietary 3D seismic data on the Central Blocks with the result of the Prospect S well. All that did not happen.
I expect with the success of Venus-1 well in Namibia that Chariot will gain much more interest compared to what it has now. Also the Brazilian play is heavily underestimated in the price estimate. On top of that you have almost 4 TCF in an area that is hungry for gas. Nowadays gas is not a byproduct any longer but appreciated in terms of less pollution compared to oil.
Looking at the overreaction of 2 dry wells whereas the remaining areas in Namibia are not valued and the potential of the Brazilian and the Lixus project, I personally think that we could see a value of over 1£.
This year will be pivotal with the presence of oil Majors around our blocks. Gradually it will increase the value of our shares.