ATE litigation support8 Jul 2022 22:49
My view FWIW.
After The Event litigation insurance position.
The underwriters need a 65% or better chance of success. (In reality they work to a much higher percentage).
So, 2 things. 1) the underwriters are pretty confident of success. 2) Success could be a big number.... These underwriters are VERY astute.
Vieed from CPX side its also a no brainer.
Look at the residual cash in the bank. Still litigation costs to go and although a high success probability, there is still the downside risk. But any future costs or legal costs following defeat are now funded. Hopefully no cash flow raise needed to continue the fight. If the lose, they don't lose any more. IF they win, they are likely to win big....
I'd rather be our side of the equation at the moment. Interesting that the other side has not reported ATE cover (perhpas they don't need it....Perhaps underwriters are not prepared to offer..... Just putting it out there.
Also, CPX cash position is after the legal costs todate. Take those out and I Think the may alerady be better than break even. Perhaps minds better than mine may have a view.
I can't beleive with the legal downside now taken away that this share is not rising faster.