Perspective14 Jan 2021 09:36
Before I get accused of de-ramping, I, up until recently had been a long-term holder with quite a significant amount of shares.
The current news is positive to a degree, however I still worry about that water cut. I was having sleepless nights about six months ago when it was 19%!
Last summer, under Beverly Smith, the production rate was 15,000 BPD and momentarily rose to 17,000 BPD. At 15,000 BPD the water cut was 19%. The current rate of production has been reduced significantly to 12,500 BPD in order to manage the water issue. However, even at this level the cut has increased to 25%.
Based on their figures from the summer, to breakeven they would have to produce 10,000 BPD at $40 per barrel.
If they have to manage this water cut with a another reduction in production then this profit margin they currently have reduces significantly. Thank goodness the oil prices have risen!
I have been assessing the potential to buy back in under the right conditions. I think there is still profit to be made here. However, the current news isn’t enough for me to reinvest in hurricane energy..
GLA