RE: GGP - Valuation11 Jun 2025 21:34
He was definitely a cut above the usual doom-and-gloom brigade we get around here—less muck-spreading, more gold-digging. I’d give him a solid 7/10 for effort.
That said, he did drop the ball a bit when he leaned on the A$75 million working capital facility as the financial safety net for Havieron. In reality, Greatland has already secured a non-binding letter of support for A$775 million in debt facilities—a far more substantial and strategic backing. That’s not just a safety net; it’s a financial trampoline. It significantly reduces the need for dilutive equity raises and shows strong institutional confidence in the project.
Also, the timelines he quoted for Havieron’s development don’t align with either Greatland’s corporate presentations or the recent Argonaut research note (April 2025). According to those, the project is progressing faster and more efficiently than he suggests.
And let’s not forget the forecasted cash position—even with conservative gold pricing and full Havieron capex factored in, Greatland is expected to maintain a cash balance close to A$1 billion. That’s not exactly the financial cliff some are imagining.
So yes, a decent effort—but next time, let’s check the facts before sounding the alarm bells. Gold mining is tough enough without the extra drama.