RE: Rhodium11 Mar 2025 08:32
From Noah Capital
Rhodium Elevator Pitch – Rhodium hits $6000/oz
Revenue contribution nearing 30% for SA miners,
From a low of 21% in October 2024, it’s now at 27%
Practically no stock available. OEMs may be resuming forward purchases as stocks dwindle, then there could be a major rally – if this is the case, the rally could persist for months
OEMs returning to the spot market - you can’t roll off forward hedges forever, they run out.
The banks and Anglo were borrowers last week and now the stocks have dried up.
Some OEMs have sold forward the next 2 years of retentions of Rh on advice from bearish Rh price forecasters.
Recommendation: Nice down day on the market, Buy in order of exposure to rhodium reefs: Highest are the MGs and LGs, then the UGs. Lowest are Merensky, Platreef and Zim Dyke – all round about 4%
· Sylvania the most geared to Rh ~15% of 6E produced, MG4 and LG6 reefs very high in Rh
· Tharisa 2nd most, ~14% of 6e produced, MG4 reef very high in Rh
· Sibanye 3rd most geared to Rh (and also to Au), ~9 to 11% of 6E, ~95% UG2: Mar 98% UG2, Rtb 100% UG2, Sti ~3% Rh
· Northam 4th at ~8.2% of 6E: 83% UG2 production: ZE 54% UG2, Booysens 95% UG2
· Implats ~6.5% of 6E: Impala Rtb 51.7% UG2, Marula 100%, 2 Rivers 100%, Modikwa 100%),
· Anglo Platinum ~5.5% of 6E: Mog 4% Rh, Amb 9% Rh, mostly UG2, Mot 100% UG2, Unk 4% Rh.