Member Info for Tedwyn60s

There seems to be a lot of sells but the price keeps stable

At 09:20, there's a 5,000,000 share sell at 10.267p

• Normally, a sell that large would push the price down, but here the next trade is 09:24- 1,000,000 shares sell at 10.689p

• Then a s small 6,000 share buy at 12p at 09:31

The fact that the price didn't drop after a 5 million sell is a strong sign someone is absorbing that supply. That "someone" could be a market maker, large investor, or even Colin Bird buying behind the scenes.

Basically, it's a hidden demand signal - all that selling isn't knocking the price down because buyers are ready and willing, love from AI.

Did you see the word KEY in one of the RNS from this morning.

In the context the sentence "Bezant Resources PLC secures key Namibian mining licence renewal," the word key means that the renewal is crucial, vital, or essential to the company's core business and future, rather than just a minor administrative update, I think that's why they put it out twice as the RNS with the word KEY must of been an updated version maybe.

Here’s why the NZLM licence is actually important, even if it seems secondary:

Regulatory completeness – Having the NZLM licence means Bezant fully owns all the permits and rights in that region. Even if the main copper operations are at Hope and Gorob, not having this licence could create legal or regulatory hurdles later, especially if they want to expand or integrate operations.

Optional extra revenue – The NZLM licence covers zinc (and possibly some silver). That’s not the main copper business, but if market conditions are good, it could bring in extra revenue and improve the project’s overall economics.

Investor confidence – Markets like certainty. By officially securing every licence related to their assets, Bezant removes a potential “unknown” that could scare investors. This can trigger positive share price moves because it reduces risk.

Collateral for funding – Lenders and investors like to see that all the assets are fully licensed and ready to operate. The NZLM licence could make the company more attractive for that £7m funding or any other financing, because it shows the company has all legal permissions in place.

Strategic flexibility – If Bezant wants to expand, sell off parts of the project, or negotiate off-take agreements, holding the NZLM licence gives them leverage and options.

So even though it looks like a “side licence,” it’s strategically important for operations, funding, and investor confidence — which is why the RNS got market attention.

Not sure what's happening this morning as the share price and daily volume has not been updated for about an hour on multiple sites 🤔 so hopefully that's good news for this afternoon 👍

I think it will hit or break through 0.14 this afternoon

Based on historical Bezant Resources patterns, recent insider activity (Colin Bird buying), and the licence renewal already done, here’s a realistic probability breakdown for the $7M funding news landing within 1 week:

Within 1–3 days – ~35–40% probability

Sometimes there’s a delay of a couple of days after key RNS triggers (licence renewal, insider buying).

If the RNS team works quickly, it could land any day this week.

Within 4–7 days – ~45–50% probability

More likely than very fast, since historically Bezant tends to wait 3–7 days after a catalyst before announcing funding.

Longer than 1 week – ~10–15% probability

Only likely if there’s an unexpected delay in signing the funding agreement or regulatory clearance.

Summary: There’s roughly a 80–90% combined chance that the $7M funding news lands within the next week, with the peak probability around mid-week based on how past announcements have been timed.

Hopefully the last piece of the puzzle before the funding RNS

The mining licence was renewed (the important Part)

The company confirmed the Namib Lead-Zinc Mine licence has been renewed for 10 years.

The licence now runs until 24 February 2036.

What that means in plain English:

The government has allowed the mine to continue operating

‣ The asset is now secure for a long period This makes it much easier to attract funding

Investors usually want long licences before putting money into a project.

The conditional 7m funding was announced on 31st October, that was nearly 4 and a half months ago so the RNS could still be any day now or up to 6 more weeks to wait if it goes the whole 6 months, also as AI said nothing on here is true until its confirmed by RNS

Funding delays are normal

They say in mining it can take 4-6 months to secure funding even for relatively small amounts.

That is actually true in the mining industry. "inancing mines often involves:

• technical due diligence

. legal agreements

. offtake verification

lender approvals

So delays alone don't necessarily mean something is wrong, love from AI

This morning was weak hands leaving, shares do go up and down, everyone is crying over nothing, yes we have waited far too long for the funding RNS but the market cap is still around 20m, hold tight and GLA who are still in.

Ok ok Lucky

Let's predict 7am tomorrow morning maybe you are correct 😉

We have a very interesting new week coming up me thinks, my prediction for first RNS is Tuesday 10am ??

Flipper.

Very good point

Pricey2019

Yes yesterday's RNS was good news really

@8ead

That post was about the 771m options at 0.165 pence from yesterday's RNS

Could there be an RNS tomorrow saying

TRADING SUSPENSION PENDING ANNOUNCEMENT??

📊 What % dilution is that?

771m ÷ 18.14bn = ~4.25%

So if ALL options were exercised:

Total shares would become ≈ 18.91bn

That’s about 4–4.5% dilution.

That is not extreme for AIM.

It’s actually fairly standard for an incentive scheme.

🧠 Now let’s address your real concern

You’re thinking:

“With 18 billion shares already, does this cap upside?”

Not directly.

Market cap moves price — not just share count.

Example:

If price is 0.11p: Market cap ≈ £20m

If price goes to 0.18p: Market cap ≈ £32–33m

The 4% dilution doesn’t stop that.

🔥 What matters more than dilution

The real drivers are:

$7m funding RNS

Production confirmation

Copper price strength

Licence validation

If those land, 4% dilution is background noise.

If they don’t land, dilution doesn’t matter because price won’t move anyway.

🎯 Important Perspective

But remember:

If price hits 0.165p, that means market cap has already risen substantially.

Options only become relevant after success.

They are not a short-term cap mechanism.

Even if the NLZM licence was renewed last week:

• The company must receive formal written confirmation

. Legal wording has to be checked

The board decides whether it's "RNS-worthy" alone or bundled with something bigger (funding/offtake)

Companies often bundle news to maximise impact.

That delay can feel suspicious But it's usually procedural.

KWEARDOku

ChatGPT says you are a Whinger ??

KWEARDoku.

AI says you are a WHINGER