Its what we call a "cash and new" or T25 delayed settlement where the buyer rolls over a position for a small premium to extend the T25 period. The tight spread suggests that it was done by a market maker rather then a individual who would have been charged at least 0.010p for the privilege although few brokers now do them due to the number of times they got stuck with loss making positions when the buyer DKY'D them. So yeah rollover by a market maker with another market maker who is prepared to take a view that this aint going anywhere anytime soon.
It might well be that Mr Calgary will go for more then 10% given that this will cost him a lot less then the Rupert investment as Bor is still a tiddler. That said, unless he knows something, once he stops buying the price will find it hard to the substain the elevated levels he will raise it to. May he does know something re Suncor, or maybe he doesnt. We will see.
Navitas would have raise a lot to develop the field, and it appears only barely within their capabilities. I think its more likely that they will bring in a partner with deep pockets before pursuing this much further.
Its the same guy who bought RUPERT ENERGY at around 1 USD - now 5.4 USD. He is drawn to speculative junior oil and gas companies like BOR, but most of his stock was bought at around 1p or less. Some of this increase will be the 1/7 rights issue, the rest possibly the result of over application or buying in the market under 2p. Clearly, he is trying to create a shortage of stock and has gone up from 15 mill to 23 mill since the last notification. Four percent isnt a particularly large holding in a minnow like BOR but clearly he thinks he is on to something. Who knows?
RE: Opening share price if RKH RNS in morning?19 Apr 2022 07:17
The RNS is out but its clear their admitting they need more money. Its also clear that although the proceedings for the court decision will be closed in a few weeks, if not sooner, the result wont be known for 4/6 months. That means a rights issue is inevitable for Rockhopper just as it was for BOR, and no doubt Arg; the upside is that they retain more of the deal then they did under Premier, although the oil price is substantially higher. Lets see.
RE: Most important to me is Navitas confidence in18 Apr 2022 15:15
The deal is far better for Navitas then RKH who are benefiting by the lack of risk appetite by global oil companies for Falkland assets. At the same time, its clearly better then nothing, and the alternative would be surrendering the licenses to the FIG in fairly short order. Its unclear why one poster said they are paying Navitas for the deal, but at the same time the effect on the bottom line will be in the longer term. The short term prospects for the share probably hinge on the Court award, which this deal now makes more likely. Now that the prospect of bankruptcy has been seemingly lifted, the Italians may come back and offer something, although it wont be the crazy 200 MILLION figures banded around here. 20-50 million tops I would say. Still, once again better then nothing. I would say, looking at the whole caboodle, its worth about 100-150 Million GBP against 45 Million currently, but obviously, if oil prices continue to rise, (which seems likely), that figure maybe revised sharply higher in due course.
Anyone who is expecting much at the end of the month should look at todays volume of 1900 Shares, its a graphic example of the lack of belief in the Navitas connection and its likelyhood to translate to weath for RKH shareholders. Not a lot more to be said,
Might have done if it were anyone other then Navitas involved in this. Problem is NAVITAS cant possibly fund this deal, so one is paying for their cut, the main investors/backers/, all the fixers, the investment banks, brokers, ect. Its not going to leave much for ordinary shareholders, especially those that paid up to 4.00 GBP back in the halycon days of Premier Oil and Gas. Overall, it pays to have ones feet on the ground and not expect too much from this deal, although something, is undeniably better then nothing. Still, the price action suggests its not going to be kind of gamechanger that people were/are hoping for. Maybe a little rise up to 20p and then back to 15p awaiting developments.
The guy who accumulated stock from Rupurt energy under 1 usd - (NOW 5 US) thought so below 1p So if this does only as well it will settle above 5p. But somehow, I am thinking this can do more then that, how much more, who knows? It was 4.00 GBP back in the day, albiet with fewer shares, so a 50p PRICE target seems plausible if they attract a driller.