RE: Share price19 Apr 2024 17:25
Hey Jim, appreciate the replies.
Couple of points that for form and deeper diving:
1. The market would surely understand the farm in deliverables but I think the market (or even the 6%, pure speculation of course) was POSSIBLY expecting more cash I.e. a % free carry rather than loans.
2. Looking at Energeans debt and ability to finance
Referencing Simpley Wall St
https://simplywall.st/stocks/gb/energy/lse-enog/energean-shares/news/energean-lonenog-has-a-somewhat-strained-balance-sheet
BUT
But as of 21st of march 2024 and reference Energeans 2023 full year accounts:
"...Funds were used primarily to repay Energean Israel's $625 million notes due in March 2024. As a result of this refinancing, Energean's weighted average life of debt has been extended to more than six years and results in a weighted average interest rate of 6.13%"
Sft note: I am not sure if this is a factor for obtaining further debt or Morocco financing.
3. 85% looks very good!
I am invested in Kistos and they have been involved in 2x failed ( not commercially viable) drilling campaigns (Hollad and the Benriach, WOS).
I am not sure what the % was allocated to Benriach
https://www.oedigital.com/news/502301-totalenergies-to-spud-highly-prospective-benriach-offshore-well-in-q2
4. " My understanding is the onshore retail customer avivo, wil provide such funding" VERY much appreciate that information Jim, but where is the information from and is there a precedence for this already.
5. Not giving the 15mil straight away, but via a caviate, could this have spooked the markets or investors some what???
6. No further comment other than it may be precived by investors as a reflection of poor management decisions / directions on running the company.
But the market possibley react well to cutting loss leading direction/ projects and if the do cut or manage to sell, could result in a SP lift.
7. Costs are possibley minimal but puts more pressure on the onshore being a success as it is still an financial drain. Increasing risk factor.
Up side is very much of significant potential especial as partnered with TotalEnergies.
8. Fid Q2 for Anchois but no income until production....time line to actual production
Again market investors must be doing calculations on Chariots cash reserves (including last fund raise, 10mil time + meeting 15mil criteria, balancing Loukos success and income to Anchois production.
This is why there is a perception of real risk of a further fund raise required a lot hangs on Loukos
As before, hazard hunting balancing controls, mitigations...risk really starts to get removed if Loukos is FULL confirmed commercially viable.
I thank you for your compised and muture comments and if my points can be undermined all the VERY much better. I KNOW I am short on knowledge but if I can think of them how much better can professional energy analysts do????
GLA
Kind Rgds Sft