RE: NEW COVID VARIANT COMBINATION DELTA AND OMICRON11 Mar 2022 13:50
COVID-19 R RATE
The latest R Rate Growth Number for England is
0.8 to 1.1
Latest growth rate range for England
-2% to +2%
These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 2 to 3 weeks ago due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.
There is increased uncertainty in both national and regional estimates at present, due to changes in testing policy, which make trends in data streams less clear.
Latest R range for England
An R value between 0.8 and 1.1 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 8 and 11 other people.
A growth rate of between -2% and +2% means that the number of new infections could be broadly flat, shrinking by up to 2% every day or growing by up to 2% every day.
Latest by NHS England regions
These are the latest R and growth rate estimates by NHS England regions.
Region R Growth rate % per day
England 0.8 to 1.1 -2 to +2
East of England 0.8 to 1.1 -3 to +1
London 0.8 to 1.1 -3 to +1
Midlands 0.8 to 1.1 -3 to +1
North East and Yorkshire 0.8 to 1.1 -3 to +1
North West 0.8 to 1.1 -2 to +2
South East 0.8 to 1.1 -3 to +2
South West 0.9 to 1.2 -1 to +3
With the advent of the new RECOMBINED Deltacron we can set this as a flag and monitor the UK R number from now Friday March 11th 2022 to see if the Deltacron variant causes mass infections though as pointed out above there are less tests being done so an accurate number will not be obtained.
Link to UK GOV R Rate
https://www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-value-and-growth-rate
StarKnight