RE: BP Down9 Dec 2025 16:28
Tuesday, December 2, 2025
Oil prices continue to search for direction as a supply scare from Iraq turned out to be short-lived, with most market speculation centred around Ukraine peace talks and US Federal Reserve policy. With ICE Brent still hovering around $63 per barrel, the Fed’s last gathering in 2025 could provide some temporary upside to prices, however, it is unlikely to fundamentally break the current stalemate.
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EU Buckles Under US and Qatari Pressure. The European Union agreed to scale back its corporate sustainability laws after both the United States and Qatar threatened to halt energy exports in case its CSDDD rules aren’t eased, however, US firms complained that changes didn’t go far enough’.
G7 to Finally Bury Failed Price Cap Action. G7 countries and the European Union are reportedly in talks to replace their December 2022 price cap on Russian oil exports, having failed to restrict flows to India and China even after it was lowered to $47.60 per barrel, with a full maritime services ban.
Chinese Oil Imports Continue to Soar. China’s crude oil imports soared to their highest since August 2023 last month, according to the country’s Administration of Customs, with Chinese refiners taking in 12.38 million b/d, up 5% month-over-month on higher flows of Iranian and Russian crude.
Congo Tightens Cobalt Export Rules. The government of Congo has set new conditions for cobalt exporters, tightening its 96,000 tonne per year quota system with requirements to pre-pay 10% of royalty fees within 48 hours of filling their export declarations and receiving a compliance certificate.
Indians Splash the Cash on Russian Oil. Indian state-owned refiners have ramped up their purchases of Russian crude, with Indian Oil Corp and Bharat Petroleum buying up to 10 January-arrival cargoes last week, benefitting from lower delivered prices as Urals now trades $6 per barrel below Brent.
Brazil Zooms in on Exploration. Brazil’s national oil firm Petrobras (NYSE:PBR) has cut its 5-year spending plan by $2 billion to $109 billion but raised its exploration budget by $1 billion to a total of $78 billion, aiming to reach 2.7 million b/d in oil output by 2028, up 10% from now.