RE: BK interview30 Nov 2022 15:56
I can understand the logic on bad debt of 7% in 2022 the reason being the weak companies who are heavily indebted do not have time to adjust to the changing landscape of low revenue and clients this is most prominent in the retail and social sectors.
Once the recession is underway the companies cut back in various things like staff, stock etc which in turn reduces inflation as demand wanes. This is why bad debt is forecast to normalise next year by SP Angel
What we do not know is YU client mix but we do k ow it is very diverse from Government, to local authorities to cricket/football clubs to care homes, heavy industry and small shops/pubs etc.
So what I am trying to say is the first year of a recession is the most high risk for failures and we are almost through that.
The question is how deep and long will be recession be ?