RE: Special Dividend.....17 Mar 2024 09:57
I just do not think people get how much money that YU are generating and how much they have available
So we do know they have just received back 52.5m plus the 31.5m that is £84m plus what’s been generated so far in 2024 and if March was effectively a free month, so the big question is actually how much do YU have in cash, yes ROC is due in AUG 24 so a good £20m needed for that and say £20m held back for investment in advertising , tech refresh etc etc etc
That still leaves possibly by year end 100m + as a wild guess
So what the hell are YU going to do with that cash , £20m special dividend plus 17p which is about 3m so still say 70m plus left
This all assumes the explosive growth of 2023 is muted which I highly doubt, yes spot price has fallen but actually the average price in 2023 as 83p a therm currently we are bouncing around at an average of 70p a therm not that large and it is volatile especially with the world on the edge in Europe and the Middle East and the stupid green agenda , volatility is here to stay and higher prices also here to stay.
So for me the big question is yes big dividends are great but remember YU only have about 1.5% market share and this year is going to be a fascinating to watch as to how much YU along with Shell can eat into the market share.
Shell are no fools and the deal is obviously aiming for several billion in turnover over the next 5 years and She’ll can obviously see the huge potential
Also I would not be shocked / surprised if shell actually took a stake a YU as they do like doing that as I can see this partnership being explosive
Time will tell by say Q4 2024 and how aggressively YU have taken market share and pushing on the 100,000 clients
YU always under sell and over deliver the only disappointment to date is smart meter roll out 10k was promised and 8k hit but this has more to with recruitment
Tuesday has the potential to be a big turning turning point , swimming in money, growing at a pace to rival a tech stock and now working with a Titan in the commodity hedging space
Next 2 days are going to drag waiting for the RNS to drop and hopefully most of what’s on peoples minds is put to bed
For 2024 I want to see the same statement a last year
“We have got off to a fantastic start in 2024 with our exceptional performance continuing.”