RE: Britain's biggest banks preparing to trigger bonus bonanza13 Feb 2022 09:52
NatWest, Lloyds, Barclays and HSBC brace for blowback as profits hit £34 billion
UK bankers will join their Wall Street peers with hefty bonuses
What a difference a year makes. Twelve months ago, the high street lenders were grappling with an order from the Bank of England to get ready for negative interest rates. Their businesses were laden with multibillion-pound provisions for loans expected not to be repaid as Covid ravaged the economy.
However, as the “big four” of Lloyds Banking Group, NatWest, Barclays and HSBC prepare to publish their results for 2021 in the coming days, they face the opposite scenario: rates are rising and worries about bad debts — at least for now — have abated.
City analysts are expecting the big four to report total profits of £34 billion. In the case of Lloyds and Barclays, it will be their highest earnings for decades. Bumper bonuses are back - and likely to cause controversy at a time when many in the country are feeling the pinch from inflation.
Banks’ bosses and shareholders can now look forward to bigger profits ahead, too, as higher rates allow them to make more on the difference between what they pay savers for their deposits, and what they charge on loans.
After being blocked from paying dividends by the Bank of England in the early stages of the pandemic, they will start pushing out payments to investors.
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However, banks also face a new battle with inflation that could impede their ability to cut costs, as everything from wages to the price of paper starts to rise.
“Consensus has moved up on the cost line, but the focus will be on the outlook commentary as well as the updated interest rate sensitivities,” said John Cronin, analyst at the stockbroker Goodbody.
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At NatWest, Alison Rose will face questions about meeting her cost-cutting goals. She was the only bank boss permanently in post before the pandemic began.
Noel Quinn had been the stand-in boss at HSBC and was confirmed in the position just as Covid-19 struck. How will he steer the Asia-focused HSBC through the zero-Covid approach being followed by Hong Kong?
At Barclays, C S Venkatakrishnan was catapulted into the chief executive’s seat in November when Jes Staley resigned to fight the conclusions of a regulatory report into what he told the bank about his relationship with the late disgraced financier Jeffrey Epstein. Will he keep the strategy of his predecessor ?
But for Charlie Nunn at Lloyds Banking Group, who was hired from HSBC to replace António Horta-Osório, the key question is to what extent will he tear up the plans laid by his predecessor?
What to expect from the bosses
Alison Rose promised to cut costs at NatWest by 4 per cent a year
Alison Rose promised to cut costs at NatWest by 4 per cent a year
DOMINIC LIPINSKI/PA
• Bailed out NatWest will provide the clearest illustration of the reversal in fortunes in the sector, swinging from a £351 million loss a year