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Https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/pope-says-ukraine-should-have-courage-white-flag-negotiations-2024-03-09/

I see Victoria Nuland is retiring. Given she headed up the Ukraine desk at the state department does this mean we are seeing a comprehensive programme wind down in Washington when it comes to Ukraine?

Typo: north sea

The alternative to a ceasefire is too horrific to contemplate. If Macron, NATO and the Telegraph gets their way then I fear for the worst. It won't be my share portfolio I need to worry about, it will be the number of Russian nuclear submarines in the red sea that will worry me. We are all told how unhinged are leaders think Putin to be, but still think it a good idea to cross his red lines. Ask yourself this, if NATO troops do engage into the war and Putin reacts as stated and uses nukes, where do you think he will use them first. He'll need to use several, all at once, but at the same country, thereby hoping that the response is limited by acts of self preservation on behalf of those countries not hit. We must of course be thankful for the Germans for leaking how very much involved Britain has been to date.

I think there will well be a ceasefire. This is not the same as peace, but at least it will drastically reduce the casualty rate which neither side can afford, especially Ukraine, given it's smaller population. How long the ceasefire last will depend on many factors, I hope everyone's sake it last indefinitely so they can live their lives and get back to rebuilding. The alternative of continuing to fight till the end would destroy forever a people and it's culture.

Https://www.reuters.com/world/turkey-hopes-ukraine-ceasefire-talks-can-start-soon-2024-03-03/

@alex1978uk "But he will want Odesa"

Yer, and he probably wants Kyiv as well, but he knows full well that's an unrealistic prospect for the near and medium future. What he primarily needs is a border he can easily defend, like the Dnieper, but that would require a major push which would weaken his military further, so I suspect 2024 will be a period of rearming.

Well he would say that wouldn't he.

Thing I don't get when these sort of rumors get published is why the person publishing them cannot be said to be either part of a conspiracy to manipulate the price or part of a conspiracy to leak inside information. Either way, shouldn't they be liable for prosecution? Maybe American law is different in this regard?

From a purely legal perspective this is very interesting. At issue is how do Ukrainian courts confiscate assets in cases where the individual being pursued has chosen to wrap their Ukrainian assets up in a UK registered public company.As I see it, the court seems to be going down the route of forcing the Ukrainian entity to pay the fine, and for them to then take the same from the individual being pursued, eg by cancellation of shares in their name, however how that can be applied under British law is the key question. It would clearly not be just for all shareholders to pay a fine attributed against one shareholder, so I suspect a solution will be found. If anyone knows of any comparable incidents I would love to hear them.

No more American money. EU now the only backer. No one can afford a continuation of the conflict. Ceasefire by April, but it won't last more than 2 years. All out war within 10 years unless Europe manages to kick out the groupthink neocons and actually elect some independent thinking leaders with true integrity.

Come on Fres, time to relist in New York. The FTSE has no liquidity and is no longer fit for purpose. Silver is traded in Dollars and Mexico and America are part of the same trade pact, so surely a move the New York makes sense.

What is also obvious is how fundamentally important good telecoms is to the economy of a country. This can only occur if countries create an environment that is friendly for investment. For this reason I am extremely confident the merger will go ahead and that contrary to the fear mongers, the UK will continue to be business friendly towards telecoms. The share price is low in my opinion because of fears for the UK economy and labour tax rises, but even Labour can see that telecoms is an essential sector that needs protection and that any tax rises will need to come from elsewhere.

Cashflow easily covers debt interest. Chance of a small dividend cut, sure, but given the size of the cashflow no chance of any liquidity issues. Growth may not be spectacular, but has anyone looked out of the window lately, the UK and Eu have both been hit hard so you would hardly expect to see the sort of growth figures seen 10 years ago. Yes they may have overspent in the past, but the share price has dropped far further than the fundamentals justify. Fully expect this to be back up above 90p within 2 years, and 100p with 3, by which point the economy will have improved and shares will be back in popularity

I said BRICS money, that means Chinese and Indian money. By setting the precedent that money can be seized from nations because you don't like the way they are behaving you break the notion of London as being a safe place to hold your assets. Let's say things escalate between India and the Maldives and the British government decided to use the law change to take Indian assets. If the law stays as is this can never happen but if the law changes suddenly you have overseas investors questioning how safe is London after all, maybe I should sell some of those gilts, buy silver and fly it back to India.

US and UK are talking about changing laws to allow for the seizing of Russian assets. The unintended consequence of this will be a flow of BRICS assets out of the reaches of both. IMO The spot price of precious metals will rocket as this money seeks to find new safe homes. Another consequence IMO will be a fall in both the dollar and the pound, so inflation will rebound as a consequence.

This won't end well. Those he wants to conscripted are currently in school or haven't even been born yet, though I suspect 20 years away is actually code for 20 months.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12981021/Nato-braced-war-Russia-20-years.html

@Smoothbrain. Talking in absolutes is going on on both sides. If Nato gets its way we'll end up sending British Troops in and it will be 1919 all over again: https://www.theguardian.com/books/2023/nov/07/a-nasty-little-war-anna-reid-review-the-west-chaotic-campaign-to-undo-the-russian-revolution

@Smoothbrain. As long as western money keeps flowing into Ukraine and Russia maintains political stability there will be no peace treaty. These peace treaty talks are just shows of with us or against us diplomacy. This is now a war of attrition between the West and Russia, and sadly the death count will continue to rise on both sides indefinitely. The west is hoping that Putin gets overthrow due to hardships endured because of the war, Putin is hoping the west stops funding the war, either because of political opposition or because it's strategists see that all of this is just assisting Chinese dominance, by draining the west while enriching China with russian resources at 30 percent discount prices.

Companies or people who decide to take legal action should ensure they are either covered by insurance or have the appropriately sized pile of cash they are prepared to loose. Sadly emotion takes over and cases get brought that end up ruining the plaintiff