RE: its good buys or good byes11 Jan 2020 12:44
Afternoon Hucks. I think there are two key issues here dealing with the business as a stand alone operator. The H1 results show we can generate real distributable cash - although there was auction income kicking around in there. H2/FY 2019 needs to confirm we have delivered over a full year and our business model is now fully working the way we have been advised since Toby took the reins / multi region, sales and renewals focused through the resisters chain with a team looking at how to create added value (luxe, adultblock, data analytics, acquisitions, deal restructuring). This will show the market we can run a proper investable business. The second area is clearly related to shareholder return. With the evidence we are generating distributable cash with no debt or legacy balance sheet trouble - a clear policy on how the business will deal with cash for the next 2/3 years needs to be outlined. Part of the options awarded to the team for accounts up to 2021 relate to cash being generated - with the target at $17/22m range. From memory we did about $2m H1 2019 - do there’s a reasonable expectation for the next 5 half years. If we deliver on these points - and there is every expectation we will - then we should easily be a £100m+ business and that’s without the premium of acquisition pricing being applied - 18p would be a great target! ATB. SB