RE: Growing Dividend1 May 2019 15:28
Very positive news in the RNS yesterday! The fact that they state that they intend "to maintain its current dividend policy" (i.e. distribute 40% of free cash flow as dividends) should mean that the effect of reducing the number of shares will come in ADDITION to dividends and NOT INSTEAD of dividends.
From the RNS it seems clear to me that this is a tactic to close the gap between DGOC's marketcap and NAV.
"With regard to the net asset value
of the Company, the Board believes
that the Programme, if and when
implemented, will represent an
appropriate use of excess cash resources."
Having expressed frustration for some time now that the DGOC share trades at this big discount to NAV, management has probably concluded that buying additional producing gas fields - even at very good prices – will not reduce this discount. DGOC has now already become seriously big in this field, and even doubling its size from additional takeovers would just be treated by the market as more of the same.
Another way of making the share more attractive is to move DGOC from AIM to the Main List, which they have already flagged, and this fits in with the second RNS announcing the immediate movement of David Johnson from non-executive board member to Chairman of the Board. Main listing of DGOC may happen regardless, I don't know how important this is to them in itself, but if the buyback program has the desired effect of reducing, or certainly eliminating, the discount to NAV, they could perhaps decide to stay on the AIM. But realistically, I would think that Main Listing now is unstoppable; David Johnson as Chairman wouldn't want to waste his experience and position on "lingering" on AIM. Instead he will be very keen to lift DGOC's, and his own(!) profile by going to the Main List, as he commented:
"I am honoured to assume the role as
Independent Non-executive Chairman
and believe that my considerable
experience of UK Capital Markets will
benefit the Company going forward"
I think DGOC is a rare combination of high return, low technical risk company, operating right in the middle of a gigantic market with stable demand. As I see it, gas is used fundamentally everywhere in USA with no sudden disruptive alternatives. My SIPP, ISA and other investment vehicle are already dominated by DGOC and I really hope that its dividends alone can become the biggest part of my not so distant pension income.