RE: The market13 Jun 2022 11:26
You sound like someone who has lost all hope Bozi. I'm the first one to condemn ramping, especially when it's based on nonsesne like TA, resistance points and Elliot Waves.
If al we have is what the BoD seems to be offering - snouts in the trough, options, salaries forever and massive, massive dilution starting this Autumn, then your gloom and pessimism would be justified. However, there is good reason to believe a bid is incoming and that changes everything. I know you're trying to sound world-weary with the wisdom of an elder statesman who has seen it all before, but that doesn't cut it with me. I've seen it all before too, and all things being equal we should have drifted down to 19p by now. Yet here we are, without rampers, TA fly by night artists and talk of Elliot Waves, holding up at the 34p point like we NEVER have before. we only ever pass this level on the way up or the way down.
With a risk/reward calculation, looks to me like the market is expecting a bid at double this price, 70p or thereabouts.
If I'm wrong I won't need you to tell me - it will be obvious. Come October I won't be sitting like Linus from Charlie Brown waiting in the pumpkin patch for the arrival of the Great Pumpkin - if there is no bid this summer and the pantomime of self production starts up, then it's 10p here we come and a decade of costs and dilution. Given that's the future without one, I think it's pretty clear that 35p today means the market knows there's a bid in the offing.