RE: No news….. still13 Apr 2022 14:05
Personally i dont think this is not a high risk share. If you complete a risk analysis of the company then you will find its low compared to other stock. This is how I see it
Risk 1 - Deal rejected - Impact High / Likelihood low. If you look at all the information coming from Gib, they really want this. They want to be the global hub of Crypto trading and regulation. The Finance and digital asset Minister has actively said that he sees the procurement of GSX and conversion to digital trading platform as a catalyst.
Risk 2 - Major share holder sell off -Impact Medium / Likelihood medium. As mentioned yesterday, major stakeholders have not sold over the quiet news period, so cant imagine it happening until news hits and then there will probably be a derisking/top slicing position with minimal impact against increase demand from positive news
Risk 3 - Placing impact medium / Likelihood Medium. I think even with the credit agreement RNS there will need a future placing. You need money to grow a business and the capital needs to be upfront. However, i believe placing will be at a much higher price
Risk 4 - Collapse of Crypto and demand for trading securities - Impact High/Likelihood Very low. I think we can all agree that there is significant demand for this bridge and Crypto aint going away any time soon
Now try and do this with shares like EUA, GST, VAST, GWMO, COPL...In fact do it to any fledgling mining company that is drilling a hole in the ground to pin point a resource that may or may not be there. The upfront capex costs are huge to do that. Whats the Capex cost to convert an exchange to a digital trading platform. I will give you a clue, much much lower than drilling 20 diamond drill holes in a field in Zimbabwe during political instability. The same 20 holes that may find zero grades. Suppose Risk is relative to the appetite you have for it.
All in my opinion
San