RE: Let loose11 Dec 2016 23:12
Agreed. The solid placing raised £2.2m and importantly in my view the directors fully participated.
£1.3m is to fund the 10% farm-in in the Wressle Field.
What is of importance for the company is that (as highlighted in the placing document), this will provide substantial, very near term cash flow from proven reserves at relatively low risk, low cost production.
I note that the farm-in agreement is conditional on consent of the OGA to the transfer from Europa Oil & Gas, and on approvals being received from the local Council and the Environment Agency, but IMHO they can be reasonably expected to be forthcoming.
Initial production of an estimated 50bbl/day net to UPL is expected early in 2017 with additional, contingent resources and further potential upside in connected fields.
Also being acquired from EOG is a 10% interest in PEDL 182, which is the Broughton prospect which was previously drilled by BP who found oil. Broughton has estimated mean gross unrisked recoverable resources of 1.85 MMbo.
In addition, UPL has a 25% interest (subject to OGA assignment approval) in Block SK46c, East Midlands, which includes the Hardstoft Oil Field, from which oil has been previously drilled. An independent CPR estimates there to be 3.10 MMbbl of contingent resource plus 3.65 MMbbl prospective resource in the broader Hardstoft structure alone, all sitting in Block SK46c and on a 'best' or central case basis it is further estimated that the chance of success for the contingent resource is 80% and 64% for the prospective resource - decent %ages.
Based on an oil price of $50, UPL's interest in Hardstoft has a NPV of 2.68p per share! At $60, a NPV of 3.80p! (extracted from UPL's October presentation.
The SP was up over 6% on Friday and I can see this heading past the previous high of 1.6p in no time at all. The mcap is just £5.4m.