Member Info for Safy

ok you know best,

"The lateral flow test has a PPA of 89.9% at 95% confidence interval."

I wonder if he dreamed this information up? and if he did perhaps you would like to enlighten us to the correct values?

Taken from the comments, but it seems like someone knows about this test.

The lateral flow test has a PPA of 89.9% at 95% confidence interval.
In English this means that if they test enough people, and there is enough virus in the population they can say with 95% surety that the each time the test produces a positive test, 10.1% of those positive tests will be false positives.

Let's say there are 10% of the population with the virus
And 10,000 people as the trial states will take the test
Then there will be 1,000 positive tests from people who have the virus.
This is true
However this means that from the original 10,000, 10.1% will return a positive test but don't have the virus.
This will result in a 20.1% positivity rate (minus false negatives but this negligible).

What I'm pointing out here is that you sacrifice accuracy with speed.
So if you have a 10% chance of having the virus when you take the test, you have a higher chance of testing positive without having the disease, 10.1%

These tests only work when there is a high prevalence, ie when there are a significant number of the population with the virus.

If 80% of people have the virus 10.1% becomes a small fraction

This is why these tests are used primarily when they know somebody has an illness, ie test for prostate cancer

Hope that helps

https://www.lancashiretelegraph.co.uk/news/18843577.coronavirus-rapid-test-trials-begin-blackburn-darwen/

ODX is at no10 most traded stock today in the whole market.

Andy

I think they missed the point of my post, when they flash it to 71 I couldn’t buy. 72. isn’t an issue to buy.

At 71?

They are flashing it to 71 but won’t let you buy big there.

Maybe that’ll change later in the day who knows.

Got a £2000 quote

£3000 and £4000 NT

lets put it this way,

there are no LFT tests available in the UK from UK manufacturers

If Government plan to test whole towns and cities, how many tests will they consume?

Listen, i dont buy this.... there is loads for everyone. The first few past the post will make it. Surely you can see that IF mologic nail the LFT this month, then it puts ODX in a great position.

Saseefeldt

Im going to make it really simple for you.... Mologic have 40m a year

@300k ODX capacity is around 15.6m, so as things stand we are close to half of their capacity

@800k ODX would overtake Mologic capacity, now be a good boy and lookup when ODX plan to reach 800k a week.

dsaf

The MOST underrated post all day.

Support UK manufacturing in the fight against covid. Anybody who thought Mologic wasnt close.... think again!!

Hence i wrote you and your mate,

yes i know, its blatantly obvious.

Tricky,

These knob jockey's posts reflect their position in ODX.

TWatcher, i didnt reply to you because im not the only guy who's seen through you and your mate.
1 guy says it, you dismiss it, two and you take notice, 3 or more.... were on to something.

Reg

Given your posting history, you're the expert on BS...

I expect nothing positive from you, what price did you sell at? its blatantly obvious that your posts on ODX are in line with your position in ODX. That much everyone knows by now. I'm not the only guy to notice or say this.

Safy,
If you want to make an argument that is contrary to what I've said, go right ahead. But if you are just going to name call and make baseless accusations, you'd be better of on twitter. I do note that you have a habit of calling posters on here shorters, when they say something you don't agree with. I'm in ODX and making a profit.

Me calling someone a shorter? find me one post where i have used the word shorter.

Merch

You are bang on

The Mologic Antigen LFT has not cost us the millions like its draining other companies.... the tests themselves sell for sub £5, when you plough in 2 placings and a years work, pay a drink to the only company who's willing to make your test, how much do you expect to recover?

J

I dont think PI's will be selling for 2-3p, to make any kind of money they would need to buy in big to sell for 2-3p.... and if they were buying big, we wouldn't be stuck on 70's or even tanked to 70.

I've seen this before on GDR, weeks of suppression. When the TR1's come out watch it fly. Take a look at all the TR1's on GDR and the SP going up as a result. Could also be someone loading up, they did a mates rates for Spreadex on GDR too. Same problem then as well.

Explain how L&G can sell their holding in ODX by 50% and it not affect the SP?

TWatcher

Thats the biggest load of BS i've read on this board in a wrong time. What entry price are you looking at?

Its relentless dumping of stock. L&G sold 5% of their stake in a day didn't they?

Its not the 10% ers or PI's. Not a chance. The churn will continue and when it clears ODX is in for a mighty reversal.