RE: Todays close7 Sep 2020 22:02
I have a construction co myself and although materials were a struggle 2 months ago they aren’t now, prices have gone up a little but that actually means the exact opposite of lack of demand, they need to ramp up production (more fuels)to catch up with demand.
Saudis are not happy at this oil price and they have openly admitted it several times, they want $60 minimum, Russians maybe, but they can’t supply the world nor would they be allowed to the way the poison who ever the opposition is.
Flight loss’s will impact demand but I would argue by the time you factor in people driving more cars separately(avoidImg puplic transport) and then the fuel used to drive around the uk on holidays there will be little if any difference at all.
To say peak oil has arrived or not is well out of my level of knowledge.
No one really knows what technologies are in the pipeline to take over from oil But peak oil or not isn’t really relevant because once peak oil does arrive, investment plummets and when investment plummets,so does supply and everyone knows oil will be needed for 10-15 years minimum yet.
We might be using 10mboepd less by then but with the last 6 years lacking trillions in exploration investment alone imagine what supply is going to look like by 2025, even worse if peak oil has been achieved.
For this reason I don’t believe the price of oil will ever drop off a cliff but more phase out quite gently as supply decreases but so does demand.
I rate some of your posts funky but the last two weeks have been constant bombardment of derampimg clearly just looking for a cheaper entry, you just post worst case scenarios every time! The situation pmo definitely is not rosey and I’m not happy about it but try be a bit more balanced.