RE: Reason behind rise14 Apr 2026 08:33
My buy case for ITM Power has strengthened over the past year, largely because the backdrop for green hydrogen has fundamentally changed. The war involving Iran has once again highlighted how exposed global energy markets are to geopolitical flashpoints, particularly when so much oil and gas supply still runs through the Middle East. That fragility has shifted the debate away from hydrogen being “just” about decarbonisation and towards something much more tangible: energy security and sovereignty. Governments are now backing domestic energy technologies because they need them, not just because they tick climate boxes.
This change directly benefits ITM. It’s a UK‑based electrolyser manufacturer with proven technology and, crucially, explicit government backing to scale domestic production. That support signals ITM is being treated as strategic infrastructure rather than a speculative clean‑tech play. Rising volatility in fossil‑fuel prices and supply chains also improves the relative economics of electrolysis, particularly for industrial users looking for long‑term certainty rather than exposure to gas shocks.
With an improving order book, better execution, and the rollout of its next‑generation Chronos platform targeting materially lower costs, I see ITM as increasingly well positioned for an acceleration in green hydrogen deployment driven by security, not sentiment. That, to me, creates asymmetric upside.