Member Info for RIDER75

As the average daily volume is about the same ammount as the size of my present position, I wonder how sudden move could come, when many want to buy in, not just with pocket money.

Who sells at this stage?

We are at the beginning, the start line.

Where did they get that 130m lowest estimate, I cant comprehend

2 GBP... :-)

Lets see 15 p then 21 p first...

Hi, I have the same experience with these auction prices from Hungary, previously with KBC, presently with Patria Finance.

Sorry again for the many mistype.

Gal, you are right with Gabriel. In their case every sane people would be against their project. Even in the neighboring country (Hungary) there was a wode protest against them. It another question, and was the center of the claim, how the gov invited the firm, and for political reasons how the managaged the environmental permiting process.

You have mentioned the essence of these cases are likelihood, conpared to price.

It really well worth reading the annulment request of Gabriel. After I came across a brief excerptsof that, I ve come to the conclusion that although their chance may low to succeed, but far from zero, while their price is practically (almost) zero.

Their arguments regarding the lack of indepemdene and impartiality of the arbitrators with each other, the government, and their law firm seems quite valid for me.

Just an example of probability and price.

PAT has a high probability to get to court, and the process and then hearings will be more than enough for us to partly take profit and derisk.

You are right, we shouldnt have a bimary expectation. Br

I refered to the the fact that you may end up with an arbitration case here out of necessity, but dont loose hope, eventually it may turn out to have a great result. With luck, and patience. And to have at least the latter, or to he able to assess the possible outcomes and timeframe, anyone ahould look at some other similars that has concluded recently.

Br

Thats not far from BUR 's conditions, even as they are bigger with a magnitude.

If so, I can not recognize any concern with that.

Regarding greenx, apart from the unlikely lossing of the annulment procedure, there is no such scenario where the haircut is so huge that make LCM shorter in its success fees, and costs

Could you tell what is the level of interests rate on their bank loans? Thx!

In an optimal case, what is the sum LCM is expected to get from the Greenx case once it is settled? (Do we know its fair value presently in their books)

Thanks! Br

You are probably right. But as the present mc is tiny compared to the expected claim (1 % max 2 %), and the financing is given for the litigation, hopefully no burtal delution is needed, I doubt that after SOC is officially declared, we will see similar levels as nowadays.

It is always harder to buy in following a drop after a huge rise.

Congrat BMR, the greatest thing in life that can happen to you as a Man.

I wish all the best for you and your family.

(Some of you plan the retirement out of the expected profit here ... :-)

Well, I would be, will be more cautious due to that. But from the time I had another one pick, which went 5 then 10 then 20 fold, and around at those levels I managed to take profit, dont think these expectstions as overly exegarated.

When the SOC will be officially declared, I plan to swell my position here.)

Whats more, most cases I ask questions more frequently than post my own expectations.

That said I welcome any crticism, especially opposing opinions, than mine. I have leant that one of the best help from others are when zhey challemge your own view.

There are not many really good boards where honest and (to a certain level) intelligent people can have discussions. All should appreciate when it possible without any personal offence. Br

Hi, I am not pushing anyone....:-) almost 50 years old, spent more than 20 years in a bank, dealing with investments and wealthy customers. I.really find it a rather ridiculous thought to think that posting this or that on chat boards may have any meaningful, whats more any effect on prices of shares. What I do is collecting ideas and info, for which I am greatful for others, and share my own thoughts , as I honestly think it may prove to be useful for others. I have never told anyone to buy or sell on any board. Br

Aside from any settlement or permission from the gov, a possible great news here woukd be that lit finance thing, as you said, for their DD, and risk taking. A great lawyer in itself might be beneficial, but in itself not reassuring as they dont take real risk other than reputational. For a litigation financier it could take a longer time to have a decision.

(I am not sure any conclusion can be drawn, but as if a tightening wedge can be seen on the chart. I have only investing.com not reuters or bloomberg. Know we are waiting for news, but to my surprise some basic chartish patterns worked on tiny illiquid shares during certain periods)

Deck you are right, PAT 's law firm is Fasken,

But Foden give us more confidence, here. Envolvement of a litigation finance company (after their thorough due diligence, (and risk appraisal) would enhance that confidence. ...

Yes, I understand, but you should know such stories are not that rare.

From our perspecive its not so bad, it is well worth to search after them, and in different part of the cases (as someone on other board said) lifecycle, different sort of opportunities arise. Different risks, timeframe, background, and possiible profit

I has just bought in here, ready to wait for a year or two, but an early settlement or permit issue is welcome also.