It's impossible9 Jun 2019 18:46
Can FRR turn around their production and sell enough to pay their loan, staff and other services in less that a year (remembering they have to wait for 45/60 days for payment). Back of a fag packet FRR will require a steady production of 4000BPD to achieve this figure taking into account that they are in a profit share deal with BH (runs only till September) and potentially another waiting in the wing with 150M.
I doubt we are currently producing 500bpd so they will have to be a significant ramp up as well have to be drilled, tested and brought into a production state. Another 10 to 15 wells at a minimum to get anywhere near the $65/70M of turnover they would need to generate.
This is NOT POSSIBLE to achieve
So I assume the following must be in play other wise ZaZa and SN will be doing some hard prison time.
I suspect that BH (supported by BP) have been drilling a new gas well/s since the start of the year to see if production will meet expectations and undertake a flow/quality and testing for flow drop off.
This required time and keeping Hope at bay until results could be proved. That seems to be done.
For two wealthy men (even without FRR shares) to risk a criminal record (and possibly prison) they must have been sure that they could and would meet the revenues required not by production but either a buy in or a sale of the gas to a major.
All we need to see now is evidence of a major tooling up in the region ........