RE: Is the worm turning?7 Dec 2021 14:08
I'm not saying I disagree with EVERYTHING that has been written here today, but thanks to Gooner for actually talking sense.
For anyone who bothered to dial in / listen to the recording of the AGM in Sept, the Sept interims are NOT news. I've posted breakdowns of these holdings and NAV per share several times; I've shared these SINCE the reinvestments in Leap and SWB. Some people need to be careful with percentages, i.e. we're at c. 50% of NAV, therefore new holders should expect to quickly make 100%... although if you're basing this on interims, they're over two months old. (Whoever said wages had jumped up... No they haven't, not since we were told on Sept 22nd what they were; they're in the tracker I share round...)
SEED don't hold enough in Yooma for it to materially affect our SP, but I do agree that with Lorne as chair... the reason for Rhonda switching sides is not driven by SEED. I've mentioned this SO many times, around whether the family are shorting / moving to Yooma / moving to Peridot... or if there is an unofficial agreement around a big new investor coming in, who benefits from the price slump. See the delayed trades from yesterday that look like shorts... Someone's having a play.
Ed gets far too much grief for "wouldn't accept £50m for the company". For one, I'm not sure that he actually said calendar yearend, rather than financial. Either way, it was in context of the hidden value in Leap being realised. There are understandable delays with that, the market is down, but by financial yearend we could well be at £50m. The auditors haven't downgraded the holding value of Leap, suggesting it's still on track, and they're not going to present it at its sale value unless that's practically certain. Plus, that was as at the end of September, NOT as of today. It could be sold tomorrow for £75m and that would give us a market cap of £50m. Auditors aren't going to sign off on a gradual ramp up of its value.
Why are LTHs so special? I started researching / buying in about 10 months ago. I've got just over 550k shares at c. 8.5p avg. I think following investments is something there is a skill to, rather than something you "get a feel for" by sitting here years saying the same thing without even learning how to spell it. I used to really like this BB but it's becoming an echo chamber.