What detemines how much Newcrest will pay?4 Jan 2022 10:32
The price per ounce we are seeing seems to be based on the price Newcrest, or any other miner, pays for a mine divided by the indicated/inferred resource. This is not what is happening. They are paying for what they believe is the total economically extractable amount of ore minus the cost of extraction.
Do people really believe they will pay $700 an once with an ASIC of $700. Thats $1400 per ounce giving a profit of $400. The amount per ounce is more like $200 an ounce, even less. It is based on how much gold they estmate can be mined.
So how much gold is their in the tenenement area. The indicated/Inferred give us a high level of confidence of the minimum we have. The other drillings show us the potential. We are 1.4Km down and the ore body is still open with volume expanding. Volume is to the power of 3. With 3 tons of ore per cubic meter, a 10m cube is 3000 tons, 20m cube is 24000 tons, 30m cube is 81000 tons.
Add the fact we are seeing simillar geology at Artemis and the activity at Zipa we could have a channel from Artemis to Havieron. That is over 1 km distance . What is found at Zipa, Mica and North havieron will be added to the estmate for the potential amount of gold that can be mined at Havieron. It is the potential amount of gold that Newcrest believe exists that determines the price they will pay. It explains why the plus and minus 10% is needed. A Slight difference in the gr/T between Newcrest and GGP estimates can be a big difference in the final price of the mine. A lot of that will be determined by experience and knowledge of other mines. It pays to have people on your side whose opinion is repected. Shows the importance of having a highly experienced and respected team around Shaun because this is a serious poker game.