RE: Strachan 201718 Apr 2018 22:11
Strachan Yesterday. Take Care
At Dempsey, the partners intend to plough on, testing shallower zone-4 and then if that
provides no joy, test the two or three shallow zones that correspond to known productive
gas fields in the region. Sacgasco is also looking at the data it has to determine where
better quality reservoir sections might be lurking within the structure.
In a worst case scenario, StockAnalysis still believes that the company will have proven
tight gas at depth and should be able to establish commercial gas flows from overlying
shallow (�conventional field�) zones that would likely see the companies involved recoup
their original $5 million capital investment from gas sales over several years.
The Tulainyo well is more problematic as both appraisal partners are massively
undercapitalised. Raven Energy (REL) may have run out of investors willing to back this
very binomial opportunity and it may not recover to regain a listing. Pancon wants to drill
deeper at Tulainyo, looking to test a known thick gas bearing zone at depth, but without a
partner able to fund that dream, further progress might prove to be too much risk.
Pancontinental may prefer to wait on results from its offshore Namibian drilling in Q4 �18
before deciding on further Californian gas adventures.
After professionally executed drilling programmes that delivered less than stellar results,
StockAnalysis thinks that the whole Californian dream is looking very tarnished. Stocks
involved are likely to fall further once the impact of these tests sinks in. Unless Dempsey
can surprise with a multi million cubic foot per day gas flow result over the coming month,
the outlook is less than stellar.