RE: Diverse Book ( Yawwwwwwn!)10 Jul 2022 17:53
Good afternoon Andywest
I have explained it many times, but here goes once more.
The problem with start up companies is that they often end up as companies that issue lots of shares when they need money and the good ones end up issuing shares to a single entity .
Let's take GGP as an example : today Newcrest have or will have 75% of the shares and a controlling share, so it's game over as one day Newcrest will own it.
NM understands this and has not let any entity own more than 15%
So we always are in a state of competitive tension.
No one will sell their stock as they all want a bigger share.
This means two things:
1=) In order for a bid to be successful the bid would have to be set at such a level that the block holders of Solgold would sell and allow a single holder to obtain a bigger percentage. They cannot buy on the open market as this would be too expensive.
2) We want to head to production, this is Solgolds intention, remember production is plan A. that is our direction.
The saying plan A begets plan B is not what most people on here thinks it is.
It means should anyone put up the kind of money that would make our major shareholders sell to them, then under the right circumstances Solgold might not be able to defend. ( it is very unlikely at the moment with the book being so diverse )
If someone wants to buy GGP all they have to do is approach Newcrest and agree a bid for a friendly takeover.
If someone wants to buy Solgold, where do you start as having such a diverse book means you need to talk to many parties at once including NM.
Solgold could be taken over with a hostile bid, but the price for the bidder would be high, so I have ruled that out for the moment.
This has been why I have been confident over the years that no one will bid for us in our current format. Along with our defense and offtake to Franco Nevada.
This next bit is speculation by me believing what I believe.
When Solgold announces the CFP to construct Alpala it will be tabled in such a way that will be minimum dilution to keep the book diverse and will mainly consist of Bonds, Loans and offtake. So as to prevent a bid while constructing Alpala.
At this point I believe we will start to see the Solgold share price start to rise.