RE: Timescale14 Mar 2022 10:13
How longs a piece of string?
Educated guess using historical data (Basically how TA works)
Every conflict Russia has had in the 21st century has lasted under 1 month - Going on that timeline Russia & Ukraine will now becoming up to a Trade deal looking purely at the History.
Tactically - Ukraine is surrounded, I've no idea what Ukraine are waiting for? Perhaps the Russians to surround Kyiv and force peace via a gun to his head (Threat of all out bombing Kyiv) as once the surroundings are took, your air defence has gone to sh*** them Russia can run bombing runs all day. 100K people will be flattened.
End of the week a deal will be in place regardless of everything else, Russia is probably 2/3 days away from entering Kyiv and doing more damage.
The Russian Gov hold little 'debt' it's more so corp debt owed by companies in Russia to Foreign investors - Russia probably has 300B in reserves at home. Despite what's being said, they can fund this war... Russia doesn't have great history of using their cash to help their people. My guess it's all going to be used to fund the war.
Deal 18th March - However that'll be different from this share being unsuspended as RA will still be sanctioned. IF POLY remains unsuspended. That and POG will show the real gains of the peace immediately, bagger within hours of it announced.
The boards real issue is detaching itself from RA - They could have their lawyers putting significant pressure on the GOV to unsuspend this with the view RA shares are suspended or Escrow'd until 'Witch-hunt is over'
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