RE: Price shift16 Mar 2026 13:01
Right, that’s it, I’m throwing my weight behind cbeadle’s and Tungstenman’s 13p valuation - here’s my rough logic:
Applying today’s metal prices to SP Angel’s October 2025 note on the 2020 scoping study would yield an NPV8 of about $2.3 billion.
Now, apply to that NPV8 a low-ball P/NAV of 0.15, giving a share price of 10p.
As the project moves towards PFS, upgrade the P/NAV to 0.30x, revealing a share price of 20p.
Caveats: my estimated figures are calculated on a completely out-of-date study that uses only an 11.7mt resource-size - and inferred.
The new MRE will significantly increase the resource-size, move some of the resources to indicated, include higher grades, incorporate both silver - and the new North Tin zone.
Imagine.