First Equity Reseach note - TARGET 27p9 Apr 2022 12:55
Extracts from the First Equity research note
Opinion & Recommendation
We have used the NPV8 of $317m from the Orom-Cross PEA to determine a risked
based valuation by deducting 40% for development/resource risk, 60% for finance
risk and 25% for country risk to arrive at an estimated $57.1m (£43m) value.
This equates to a price per share for Blencowe of 27p and FEQ’s share price target.
Work is now underway on the Pre-Feasibility (PFS) study conducted by an independent consultant, which is also to include an upgraded JORC resource statement.
This may improve the current project NPV numbers and help us reduce the development/resource risk parameters in our calculations to thereby improve the price target valuation.
We may also learn if progress is being made in securing off-take partners, which would help in lowering our finance risk factor.
We believe a significant market re-rating awaits Blencowe Resources, as investors begin to appreciate the size and scale of the low-cost project being developed and its
importance in feeding the EV market with essential battery grade graphite.
For these reasons and those outlined above, we recommend the shares as a ‘Buy’ and suggest
investors position themselves in the stock.