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One would hope that Abakta have a whole heap or orders that say, "As soon as you have your CE mark, ship us X."
Surely, when the CE RNS drops it should also include, "Oh, and we've already got orders for X."
CE is entirely expected and on its own shouldn't have much impact on the SP. Manufacturing capacity and orders is what will shift it. The CE RNS on its own could be interpreted as a problem and could, IMO, drop the SP.
My guess is that there is a whole bunch of paperwork that needs filling out. Let's say it takes ten people a week to fill out. There'd be just as much paperwork for the UK as the EU as the US etc. You can't just put 30 people on the case as Abakta don't have the manpower, so you prioritise. If the HMG are saying, "Get the paperwork in and we'll drop an order deffo. Just look on bidstats, it'll all there waiting for you." then they go first, the EU, US can wait, even if they might turn out to be bigger. You'd got with the confirmed massive order rather than a possible mahoosive order.
I doubt there will be any announcement of a sovereign test.
All the communication is: numbers are down, we're returning to normality.
The last thing Johnny taxpayer wants to hear is: we're about to spend a shedload on a bunch of tests we wouldn't need if the "numbers are down, we're returning to normality" message were true.
Hopefully, HMG will still be (quietly?) be placing an order for a bunch of AN tests. And if they don't, someone else should do.
Please don't. As I understand it, "I know of someone on a bulletin board whose nephew's mate's girlfriend's brother is none other than Myles McNulty" puts you fifth in line of succession.
I don't want to be bumped down the list.