RE: Can anyone16 Jan 2018 11:36
Look again at the GBP CPR announced yesterday. It was NOT good news. Highest COS of any of the propsects was a dreadful 12% and the COS of the others was so low they are essentially just leads and not even worth mentioning. A big dissapointment after the wording 'greatly improved the chance' in a previous RNS. No one will want to drill GBP acreage unless the COS is increased significantly, so 3D will have to be done first. GBP can't afford 3D and who would want to farm in and pay for it when there are much juciers licences on offer in Namibia alone. Even if there was a farm in it is likely GBP would only get carry on the 3D and not drilling as the 2D results are not good enough to justify a decent offer. Unless there is a discovery adjacent to the GBP acreage I think the licence is a dead duck and so is GBP. The correct move was to sell into the news yesterday. Given the point in the market cycle GBP may be better off mothballing operations in Namibia and using their cash to seek opportunities elsewhere.