Oil demand growing….20 Jun 2023 10:08
‘The IEA has increased its expected growth in oil demand from 2.2m b/d to 2.4m b/d in 2023 to a new all-time high of 102.2m b/d. In its new medium-term report to 2028, it now expects the global consumption of oil to continue to grow to new highs each year to 105.7m b/d. This could well be conservative as the IEA has consistently underestimated demand especially from emerging markets.
The world has been able to meet demand growth up until now, through the following:
sale of strategic reserves by the US and others;
strong production from US shale;
stronger than expected production from sanctioned countries including Russia, Iran and Venezuela;
and significant selling by investors on futures markets, reducing speculative positions towards ten-year lows.
As a result, prices have softened.
Policies that starve a sector of capital, when it is fundamental to the functioning of the global economy, and at a time when demand continues to make new highs – create significant inflationary risks.’
Looks like oil industry is going to turn around.