M&S @ 705p, Shore Capital? Capital Markets Day3 Dec 2025 18:24
After Capital Markets Day, New M&S Scaleable Growth Biz Targets. Set against that is a more assertive target. Shore Capital highlights “an ever more credible earnings runway” towards 47p earnings per share, a level that could support a share price of about 705p on a 15x price earnings ratio.
The strategy rests on two major growth vectors. First, M&S wants to double its Food business from a £6.8 billion revenue base in FY22 to £14 billion over the long term.
The division has grown sales by a third in three years to £9.1 billion, although only 50 of its 278 Food outlets carry the full range, which the company acknowledges leaves substantial room for expansion.
Second, the Fashion, Home and Beauty arm is being primed for an online surge.
Digital currently accounts for 32.6 % of sales, yet the online EBIT margin of 7.5 % is still 6 percentage points below store profitability.
Doubling online revenue while closing that margin gap is central to the uplift story.
Funding firepower is increasing. Free cash flow has risen to £443 million, supported by £336 million of cost savings delivered by September 2025. Net funds have swung by almost £800 million since FY23.
Chief financial officer Alison Dolan outlined a model where £1 billion of operating cash flow and £150 to £200 million of maintenance capital expenditure could leave more than £300 million of annual flexibility for growth and shareholder returns.
M&S has underperformed peers in 2025, yet this plan hints at something investors have long awaited: a shift from perpetual turnaround to scalable growth.