sp forecast9 Feb 2022 15:46
MHW1 is leased on a contract basis so we don't have maintenance or staff costs there and no union issues (unlike Warrior MET!). MHW contractors get about $115PT
MHW2 is owned outright and due onsite this month but MHW team will be contracted to operate that too.
BEN own the washplant which is currently in test phase to ensure best quality processed coal comes off it. Due to complete testing end of this week.
Rail spur repair is by a contracted workforce and due completion by first week March. It's only 6'C there today so not ideal for working with cold steel tracks. The train will carry met-coal away from Ben's Creek to be used to make more steel.
Transport by rail is paid by the offtake partner, so once the hoppers reach the weighbridge BEN get paid.
4 permits have already been issued for Alma No2, Lower Alma No6, Pond Creek No1 & Upper Cedar Mo5. Still waiting on mining and discharge permits for the MGC 1200 acre site (BEN2) but we are not due to mine that yet so no rush.
Fully funded and revenue generating 2 months ahead of schedule.
Working on a modest margin of $150pT at current HiVolB metcoal prices, with 2 HWM rigs operational, extracting a combined processed 70KT coal per month = 840KTpa and using a PE of 6, the sp could be worth £1.55
The CEO, Adam Wilson, has already told us he intends to pay 10p dividends.
He also told us that he is currently in negotiations for another acquisition. This could be another redundant mine waiting to be brought back in to production with existing reserves or another MHW rig. A 3rd MHW would up that sp forecast to £2.32 plus bigger dividends.
Obviously DYOR and calculations but as most of the overheads have been covered here then it looks like a good investment. Metcoal prices can go up or down and obviously affect the figures. New acquisitions/capex cost money but increase the lifetime of mining & production and prevent competitors acquiring those sites before us.
Once the H1 financial results come out , chances of jumping in at 44.25p will be long gone IMO. GLA.