Hello E I think this can work out nice in H2 and next year if not global economy dont colaps even more then projected. Even US will need more then 60 Brent to re-capitilize their oil companies after this. They already had big problems before corona at those levels. It will be opec sitting on power to control the prices, and what price will they want next year? 80? Think even Trump will not complain too much about 80 oil next year if he now is re-elected and just started his second period.
Lol Therapist Yeah, I heard about it. Didnt smell it, its 20 km away luckily The world have a lot to learn:-) Maybe can get passenger rates down in subways also
E, didn’t you explain before that many US company had some 3 way hedge and if prices fall through second floor they were not so protected? Maybe I got it wrong
Evening E, Art Berman estimated 1,5-2 mill production reduction in US in May. If we see numbers like that, you think it’s enough lift oil prices 10 usd in May? Or you still expect hoover around these levels?
On Swedish news they interviewed pawn shop owner ( no not Chumlee). They said a lot oil production closed down but he didn’t understand why oil prices so low
Chilting, I think completely different and say oil shares will be first to recover. In some months supply demand will look bit better and it won’t need much to lift oil prices from these levels.
Art says us production will fall of a cliff in May, normal / shut in Trajectory. Either way, it will fall of a cliff. If storage runs out in few weeks they need act with shut in production now
On demand I believe more in this Rystad picture, it will improve from now on otherwise Romarons ox-cart vision will become reality.
Last week I also listen to a telefon conference with SEB bank, they said GDP will fall 3% this year and next year +6% That will need alot oil next year.