RE: L&G Gold ETFS10 Dec 2024 00:11
Another marker.
and some Gold commentary dated 1st Dec 24 from Avi Gilburt
https://www.elliottwavetrader.net/p/analysis/What-I-Told-Investors-At-The-50th-Anniversary-New-Orleans-Investment-Conference-202412019407300.html
As you can see, I am still expecting this 5th wave rally to continue over the next 12-18 months before we complete the current 5-wave structure which began at the start of 2016.
I am also expecting the last segment of this rally to be parabolic in nature, as that is often how commodities complete their cycle. But, first, I am expecting to see a multi-month pullback/consolidation in 2025 before that final parabolic rally takes hold, and it may not complete until 2026.
Ultimately, my target now is the 3300-3400 region in gold for that final parabolic rally. But, as the pattern develops over the coming year, I will be able to refine that target.
But, I want to warn you. During that last parabolic rally that I expect in the coming 18 months, many will be calling for $5000 gold or maybe even more. But, when these 5 waves complete it will complete the cycle from the 2016 low, and then I am expecting at least a 5-8 year correction.
Since the 2011-2015 correction was a 4th wave of one lesser degree, then it is reasonable to expect the upcoming correction to take longer than that 4-year correction, based upon the principles I just noted about the S&P500 impending correction.
So, while I know you are hearing many that are looking for 5000, 7000, and even 10,000 in gold in this rally, I strongly doubt that potential at this time.