RE: Hurtling towards NAV26 Mar 2024 16:18
Thank You.
I have mixed feeling re: Private equity holdings as these are the future cash cows but.... they have grown in proportion of overall holdings and this balance needs to be restored tbh. However - this can be done in one of two ways
1. - sell a private stake to another investor. In Space X this may be do-able but others are far less 'liquid' and could lead to a significant distressed sale price discount to perceived value - this in turn means that any remaining holding is downgraded and the value drops and so does the NAV. if you follow me.
2. Start being activist - and get IPO's scheduled. This is easier said than done but SMT cannot be the only shareholders on the register that want this outcome. Take a leaf from Elliots book, or even use Elliot themselves, to agitate for IPO.
My preference is for '2' for value reasons, even if it is slower. Some of the holdings however are, by their holdings structure, hard to 'force' to IPO. ByteDance is 20% owned by founders, 20% by employees and 60% by global investors - with 40% 'sewn up' (assuming employees do what they're told) it will be hard to get any kind of outcome for IPO. These shares.... the one with restrictive covenants or large founds share holdings are the ones that should be disposed of fast IMHO .
I do not really think selling existing listed holdings like NVidia is an option, as tempting as it is, as this will make the Private:Public ratios even worse.
I note there was a webinar today, just finished in fact. I for one shall watch with interest when it's available to stream.