RE: Shorts14 Dec 2019 15:13
You pay too much attention to andypop. He advised everyone on here over and over that pmo would see 40p before it would see a pound. Despite his knowledge of the convertibles which was also flawed as it dictated a conversion price of 104p. And to achieve it sp rose to that figure despite fundamentals. It dropped to 80/90,s after and then rose to circa 140 on fundamentals i.e. oil at 86usd. Like a signal to markets the kashoggi murder in istanbul sent oil into tailspin and it dropped to 50s as did pmo sp. If their short position is accumulated in the period of spring to autumn 2018, then they are still in profit so long as sp doesnt keep rising, maybe thats why they disclosed when they did to try rein in the rise.
It,s also possible that some form of capital raise is essential/mandated for S/L. That could depend on how much money is made on Zama. Personally i dont believe zama will net more than 300million but i will be happy to be wrong.
Funding SL. In the "long" term how can capital raise be so bad for SP. In the short term of course its is a pain but adding net pre any farm out circa 55kbod of good oil at forecast sub 40BE can only good in long term. Theres not that much oil out there thats got these economics.
Im hoping that this alaska drill results in another asset sale, remember that there are 2 elements to exploration and production. Element 1 is finding and proving up, developing or selling it. Developing is element 2.
Catcher reserves upgrade, charlie 1 drill, tolmount on schedule, zama sale, infill at solan, etcetc all looks positive.
Refinancing is for sure more complicated considering the types of lenders involved. But Rose and team are well capable, and likely risked the 2017 refi from all angles including HF lenders.
I made lots of money on pmo despite andy and his thousands of fear posts, is that not what were trying to achieve.
Anyone investing in oil needs to have lots of time and steel balls. Look at TLW last week. Same as PMO just years later.