Member Info for Oiled-up

Oh well,

It was bad news for the share when they announced the probe in to the deal and now it’s bad news that they are not…!

From strength to strength….520 today..?

If it is a 7 day gain, even I will be at the Rusty butback bonanza , In Brighton I guess …?

Just when you think you have enough Vasiline 🤷🏼

What are the BLUE NUMBERS on the DEC forum, I don’t understand.

“We could have a 7 day gain coming”

This is the DEC forum ..! 🤪???

Aviva has been a strange stock over the years…

I thought/Hoped I would see it @£500, when first purchased during covid but it’s been hovering around the £4 for sometime and more recently £365 ish… Sentiment has changed ,I can see it making £511 over the next few days taking into account the upcoming dividend plus the 5-to-6 million pounds worth +/- of shares they are buying back per day, increasing the current stock value daily .

After XD will depend how long and how much they throw per day at the market. Currently spending an average of 6mil a day would give around 10 weeks of buying but that would be less if they decided to increase the buying after XD, therefore supporting the fall in price after the XD day.

My personal view: this is £4:50 share trading above its price, after the support has gone how quickly will it fall back…?

DYOR. Good luck with you OWN decisions 😇

Now 7 shorters :

There has to be a point when most of us think there is no chance with this company, All of the lies and false hopes have gone “Rusty”

This kind of attitude I know will only help the shorting but there has to be a point.

Again , attention seeking… Quick Finger.!

This will shock you and your Facebook so called friends ,

NO ONE IS INTERESTED IN WHAT STOCK YOU HAVE SOLD TODAY ! Or the time at which you sold them..!

Or the fact you feel the need to tell everyone what a boring person you really are…

We get it …

According to longtimeinvestor (Quick finger)

There’s a Trading 2128… ?

Or it could have been in his imagination for an hour or more…

They might think this is the facebook equivalent, where you show what you’re about eat, but no one give a hoot…!

They must have some very good software or quick fingers to catch “over 495” , it was only there for seconds..! Some might call it absolute BS >>>!!!! But I wouldn’t say that..?

Blackfriars:

All of my decisions in a long life have been made by me, not Charlie Munger…

When things go wrong it’s a much better feeling to only blame yourself.

Happy waiting with Charlie …

AbjectPerformer:

Trading Aviva from 265 in covid , made far more from trading Aviva than just holding for the dividend, in some cases I have stayed in for the dividend but still traded.

Its worked very well for me , so far.

So yes, I do think short term with Aviva.

Remember this was 365 just a few months ago from 467, the difference is over three years dividends in a few months.

Trading shares with a good dividend removes some of the risk, if you get stuck with them at least you have a good dividend while you wait for the stock to recover. Glencore, 475 to 365 . BP 550 to 450, are other examples of good trades in the last few months with the support of a good dividend if you get things wrong. A few exceptions like RR I would not sell, but there’s not many of them.

Not everyone likes to trade , with the research , Charts, etc…some just want to “bung it in a company” and hope for the best , watching the frustration of the snakes & Ladders show every day but happy with the 8% a year.

So short term thinking with Aviva, but with a reason.

Personal choice really.

Do you think this momentum will carry on after the incentive of the dividend and the 300 million buybacks have stopped ?

The FTSE has a part to play in this too, I’m anticipating Aviva to touch £5 before XD, depending on market conditions.

Then I need to decide to sell before XD if it does reach £5.

My feeling is after the buyback which is propping up the price daily , the dividend which is the incentive until XD day, what is there to keep this stock past the XD day…? The 8% +or- div, for the full year will disappear in a few days of 2p here & 4p there…

Or just keep and hope for the best.

I guess some will think it’s a great company with many of it’s ducks in row, which it is, the dividend is great, but I’m questioning the ability of this stock to hold it’s price ? Which after the 300 million buyback is spent and those shares are taken out of the market , will it hold @£5…?

“Can't she a cookery class, take up hill walking, or spend time with grandkids”

Amanda will have a middle aged white male to do all those menial tasks…Surely .!

A very broad answer would be no:

The point yesterday was this particular stock is, it does not hold on to sudden uplifts in price rises, if this stock suddenly rises because of some good news, for me and so it would seem others, it’s a strong sell signal, what is the point in in keeping a position on a share you know is going to fall back to somewhere near where it started. The reward is far greater to sell looking at the history of “this stock”, But when it comes to the Dividend ,again with this particular stock at this time of year (22.3 pence per) the risk is far greater than the reward IMO…

This does require some previous knowledge of this share as does any transaction with any stock, so keep watching like me for around 43 years… and still get things wrong !

Good luck with your OWN decisions …😇 Also take into account CGT… but you can trade within your isa or multiple accounts/ family/ friends ,etc. DYOR.

I think trading is all about the timing/experience with particular stocks.

Today with Aviva , every year this share rises on the good news But never ever holds, this why most, not all will sell on the good news , this contributes to its fall , I sold on a set TP @480: it did reach 483 for a few moments and down hill from there.. look at the history of this share, it’s quite predictable and never holds a sudden uplift in price, most traders already know this…

It’s not a share to hold unless you enjoy snakes and ladders but happy with your 8% +/- if you are that’s fine too.

For some an opportunity to double their dividends.

F-it I’m calling it:

DavidCharles -IS- greygeorge

😇…

DID SOMEONE SAY C O O K I E S…..!!!

Mine Certainly don’t last 3000 minutes, plus I’ve never spent anytime at the supermarket rejecting them.

Off Topic… that’s another story.

Nice change of direction of the day, it was looking to continue falling but now up 2.5 pence…

Did someone have a sneaky look at the results today… No way that could happen…!

Still two more days (for some) before results.

Https://open.substack.com/pub/theoakbloke/p/dec-ent-offer-2?r=2y9mrf&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email

Warthog4

“PS Thank your lucky stars this ain't France otherwise Whitehall would be full of cows, tractors and howling mobs”

I’m not so sure that would be a disadvantage…? The intellectual level would rise plus the wage bill would be cheaper, fill the place with pigs even Lee Anderson would be happy…?

Car insurance wise: 2023 £538: 2024 £1583. We should all feel the benefit from the results on the 7th of March even if it’s just the two of us that have contributed…🙄