from Citywire this morning27 Apr 2021 09:02
Shore Capital: SSP recovery could surprise
The recovery of food-on-the-go group SSP (SSP) could come later in the year than expected, but Shore Capital says there is reason to think that it will be strong.
Analyst Greg Johnson retained his ‘buy’ recommendation and a ‘fair value’ price target of 390p on the owner of Upper Crust, which closed down 2.6%, or 9.1p, at 336p on Monday.
The analyst said the business’s recovery is now expected to begin ‘from the summer rather than the spring’ but this is ‘more than offset by a greater than previously expected contribution from net new contracts over the medium term’.
‘Our…fair value…stands at 390p per share, a c.15% upside opportunity,’ said Johnson.
‘With just a 12% share of the estimated £23bn travel food service market, potentially some £400m of debt headroom, and a highly fragmented but dislocated competitor base to target, such assumptions could prove highly conservative.’