RE: dunno12 Apr 2022 21:59
The new markets business of Rolls-Royce, focusing on electrical power for small aircraft and taxpayer-backed small modular nuclear reactors, could be lossmaking into the 2030s, a broker has warned, pushing the engineering group’s share price lower.
Rolls-Royce announced changes to its reporting structure at its full-year results in February, including the creation of its new markets unit, which is pursuing opportunities from the transition to net zero.
In an equity research note to clients today, JP Morgan Cazenove said the venture “offers good long-term sales potential but there is no guarantee of good profits”.
The broker said Rolls-Royce’s diversification raised the risk for investors and to the company’s earnings potential, prompting it to downgrade the stock to “underweight” from “neutral” and to cut its price target to 75p from 140p.
Shares in Rolls-Royce dropped 5¼p, or 5.5 per cent, to 89¾p, making it the biggest faller on the FTSE 100 today. This extends declines this year to more than a quarter, valuing the company at £7.5 billion.
The shares had rallied last month on a speculative report on Betaville, a deals website, which suggested Rolls-Royce could be involved in a “significant corporate transaction”, perhaps a merger or a takeover.
Rolls-Royce did not comment at the time and JP Morgan, a long-term bear on the stock, said in its note today that “we struggle to think of any realistic buyer for Rolls-Royce in its current perimeter”, but added: “We cannot rule out the divestment of a division.”
Rolls-Royce’s new markets unit was outlined alongside the announcement of the planned departure of Warren East as chief executive after a seven-year tenure punctuated by several crises and profit warnings.
Rolls-Royce is one of Britain’s great industrial companies, with its engines powering Boeing and Airbus long-haul passenger aircraft, RAF Typhoon combat aircraft and the Royal Navy’s warships and submarines.
East, 60, said in February that when he left the company by the end of the year, Rolls would be “fit for the future, with a clear strategy and contemplating growth and significant commercial opportunities”.
Rolls-Royce also said then that its new markets were “more challenging to forecast due to the pace of customer demand growth and regulation”, but the potential was “significant” and said they could generate more than £5 billion in combined annual revenue by the early 2030s.
Rolls-Royce secured £490 million of funding last year, including about £50 million provided by the company and £210 million from the government, to help to support investment in the design of the small modular reactors (SMRs).
JP Morgan said demand could “grow strongly as countries seek to cut emissions and increase ‘energy security’. But SMRs need to compete with other energy sources and we see a high risk of the first SMRs being well over budget'
Due to new investments and lower expectations for its core civil aerospace division, JP Morgan cuts i