RE: Fanciful forecasts14 Jul 2025 10:08
there are two high potential exploration plays that are being assessed. the isobel complex has large potential, the british geological society paper by ***le plenderleith 'the effect of breached relay ramp structures on deep-lacustrine sedimentary systems" if you want to google it. figure 14 shows the 4 horizons of the complex and the potential of a large additional trap on the sanson terrace, where the feeder channels enter the basin. the system is more complex than sealion but the paper provides an exciting summary of the opportunity.
the second play is to the north of sealion (interestingly in an unlicensed acreage!) this is another fan system fed from the north of the basin. "tectonostratigraphy and the petroleum systems in the northern sector of the north falkland basin, south atlantic", if you want to google. this paper is by darren jones, and shows an opportunity of a sealion like system to the north.
the nfb is a proven frontier, we have known for 15 years of the potential, between premier oil, global oil prices, greta thunberg and argentina the opportunity has been ignored. hopefully for not much longer. the source rock is the second most productive in the world with potential for over 60 billion barrels of oil to have been generated (richards and hillier).
priority must be to get sealion into production and generating revenue, but it is 1bn barrels recoverable of a frontier which could be 30x that.