Member Info for nims

In this business you just never know stocks always move up and down. I guess the best rationale is do you see barclays standing in 5 years time and at what price. The short term game is too painful. If inflation continues as it is then sp will rise accordingly over time linked to increased in assets. If interest rates go up again price should rise, either way barclays should rise and give a constant divi. The issue is short term there is too much political instability across the world which will crash the whole stock market at some point. I have a funny feeling that 2018 will be the most unpredictable and sporadic year in stock market history. The charts are already signalling something big to happen in commodities, especially oil. Invest wisely and don't try and catch the waves like a surfer. At present I am working out a good strategy of when to cut losses and take a profit, so far I am thinking below 8% take the loss, a gain of 5% take profit.

Jack congratulations for getting your short right. However those who are long their strategy is different to yours, as you will be glued to the markets and will gamble up and down and probably be stressing. The long terms in nvwatora who believe in value will just put their money in collect a divi and when the price is right sell. I tried shorting and CFDs and lost big so now stay away, mainly cos I'm not good at it and it felt like you're always in the bookies. I also played silly in aim and lost loads of money. However I can't seem to stop putting money in shares, but at least I have a more pragmatic approach and one that makes small money then lose anything. Anyway will be interesting to see who chart target is met first my £2.15 or your £1.74 it's a game of chance but let's see. GL to your strategy mate as I don't know it many top traders like Anton Kreil and Lex Van Dam have a strategy to hedge shorts against longs. However I am now a value investor man like good old Ben Graham who interestingly stopped trading cos he got bored of making money, genius. GLA In Barc and now will be more interesting to see who's chart is more accurate mine or JB, PS JB if Barc hit £1.74 then please share some of your analysis as I like to tweak my formula at every opportunity.

The charts are showing bullish signs from last Friday from the back of some good volumes. I agree the moves have been pennies. However my chart showed a £2.03 target line last week when sp was at £1.95, that's a 4% increase in few days in what is a bearish market overall. Please note like all of you I am a private investor, and not a professional advisor, so like many of us my target prices are speculative. Please do your own research when making investment decisions and don't go with whatever I or anyone else posts in these boards. GLA and invest sensibly

It came really close today to hit the magic £2.03. The sp has jumped a lot over last few days from a low of £1.94 to £2.025. Good volume of Barc being trade. This is a stock in demand. Patience is key. Remember trade sensibly and good luck all.

Thank you for some input. I just looked into the balance sheet. Jack I don't agree that it's a declining book, yes non core is hugely loss making but the group as a whole look profitable, barclays look to have a grip on RWA and their sp is only 0.47 times book value which means Barclays is well undervalued. Barclays current sp is 21 times net earnings so just looking at that and industry average barclays is very cheap. Chat £2.80 is an overstatement by £2.50 discounting the impact of non core seems like a sensitive value, also you have to factor in impact from Brexit. On a whole investing Barc depends on your strategy, if you want to day trade and look for small quick profits then this will swing up and down for a while. If you are looking for a 20% increase and are willing to hold Min o the to a year then you will see £2.40+. Each to their own I prefer option to to be patient, as you need a lot of money to get a return on investing in sp movements. I am not looking to jump in yet as heavily invested elsewhere but from yesterday's trading volumes, it showing that if barclays hits an unreadable price of £2.03 next week then barclays will shoot up to £2.15 really quick. GLA

Can anyone tell me the book value of barclays please and how it has changed over the last few years? Does anyone know what Barca vas flow is like and what impact the current investment issues in 2008 will have on future cash flow, what is the current investments Barc are making in technology? Where will Barc be post Brexit negotiations? Will challenger banks take any market share from Barcs? I am seeing many ****ging matches if I predicted this to go up and down, these are pure guesses that when made on ftse 100 companies will come true. When investing you should have a target price from research and stick with your investment until it's met. No one can predict monthly swings accurately as it takes one unexpected piece of news globally to Send shockwaves to the market and these pieces of news can happen at a heart beat, it's looking at the book and seeing how quickly a company can recover which is key. Please post answers to my question on a postcard as I want to dive back into Barc but no time to research at mo. GLA

To all who had faith in BRSN over the last few months of volatility well done and congratulations. BRSN has shown and proved that companies with good fundamentals and a low Graham score will always outperform markets. This is a fantastic company with a good board and I am happy that rlthey are now fairly valued. A few months ago someone asked why One of the brokers stated a £12+ sp when BRSN tanked, what's the best they knew about an offer coming. Well done all, if you have made good money on BRSN then enjoy it, continue with fundamental analysis and find next stock to put money into.

Sorry for not responding as I have not looked at abf until today keeping a close eye on. At present I have been busy so not reviewed any shares. I have also been stuck in cna for a while now got the divi banked and bought a few at various stages. A small paper loss mate though as my initial buy was over £2.15 but should see that breached over the next few months post election. A lot of shares have progressed well over last few weeks so if I was you I would wait for some pre election retraces and then look to buy. I was going to say vod and BP however they are up so again a bit overpriced. Like I said been busy and also looking to set up a site with my data, but I want it to be easy for investors to get some key quick info with a small scan, once my demo site is set up I will share or should I say if my demo site ever gets set up ;). Gla

Those who stuck in there with vod well done. I can't believe I sold so quickly. I wonder how much those dopes at Macquarie have lost, they had a price target of £1.70, these experts make over £100k a year to guess the market incorrectly. Anyways good luck all in your investments.

Also Picket I sell vod n it flies to £2.10, the markets conspire against me, as soon as I sell the softies higher, look at cpi £5.80, gfs £3+ etc... :( even brsn went to £8.50

Hey picket hope all is well mate, I couldn't wait for brsn divi as my seep price was met earlier then expected and as you know I don't hold beyond my sell price, however I was tempted 22.5p is not to be sniffed at. I did a double whammy today bought boring cna at £2.165 today and hoping for £2.26 sell price, happy to wait till may on cna as good divi n got £25k invested in it. Like I said low risk n boring so ok for me now. I have taken another punt on BP at £4.58 today, the issue here though is this was based purely on gut n no analysis. I have not received any buy signal however I used my previous analysis and I can't see much change in data, so re-entered, hopefully £4.70 is met quick for me to go out. Speak soon

Hi Picket I was tempted to stay in longer as I can see brsn going to £8.75 and even test £9, but as you know I am a cautious investor and where there is a gain I'll take it. It was a modest £400 profit after fees, but not bad for a few days trading, lol it took me nearly 1 month to make that on VOD. How are you doing with DEB and do you fancy GLEN again? I am still waiting for another buy in on BP just need that magic signal, however on guy alone I think £5 is fair value

Hi Picket, I tested my strategy on BRSN and sold out today at £8.33, check out my posts on that board on why I got in. Now I have more confidence that my strategy works. I am watching BP and waiting for a price signal patiently, I am also looking at wpg (worldpay group) as there is a huge growth potential there. I am out of vod now aswell, so I only hold SBRY (such a painful stock), but I may sell at a loss as I think there is going to be some great opportunities over the next few months. i will keep you posted once I have a buy in signal.

Are you invested in WPG? Or like me just following. I am closely watching this share as I have a buyin price target once met I am in. In terms of markets do you look to day trade or buy to hold for a gain later along the line? If you day trade then doing fundamental analysis won't work as the day trading trends are based on real time market news and sentiment. If you are however willing to hold stock longer then research the balance sheet and cash flow and do a bit of technical analysis that will give you a buy sell or hold strategy. Just reading isn't enough you need to know what to look for. Wpg is a good growth story, however the Brexit will hit company and sp hard, current technical analysis is showing a steady price range, so short term wpg is worth a punt, however for me the price is a little high at mo, if markets are willing to sell me the stock at discount then I'll buy some.

Another one I sold too early on. I just can't get the exit price right. I am being brace and bought my first ftse 250 stock using my strategy a few days ago in BRSN. You can see my post there if anyone is interested and this weeks end of week target. In terms of BP what nutter actually believes this will got £3.50 and on what fundamental basis. Even if Brexit happens oil price will recover as OPEC control oil output. Or Britain, if anything Brexit will push oil prices up, inflation and taxes rising, it's a matter of time for interest rates and then we see another 2008 scenario. BP even though I am. It in it is a strong share and I am waiting for another technical movement to get back in. GLA all and have a lovely weekend

I was slightly worried that £8.05 would not be breached by end of the week, however it has now been breached and I can now relax up to my price target of £8.25. Well done those who got in the £7.70s a really good company is BRSN. Graham score 31 so the company on this years presictions is well undervalued, if they beat analysts expectations in H2 then it will be interesting to see the rerated value of brsn stock. Have a lovely weekend all

The broker ratings are based on predominantly the company meeting their targets in the 2nd half of the year. BRSN are a solid company. The sp dropping last few days is purely due to all the negativity in the uk markets as a whole, the budget didn't help either. However today RSI has hit below 30 so from a technical point the sp shouldn't drop any further, unless there has been a fundamental change for n the company since they posted results. Be patient all and Good Luck

You guys did well buying sub £8, I wasn't so fortunate as I paid £8.06 yesterday. a 22p divi looks good.

Also £8.05 didn't hold, hopefully it does by week end, if £8.05 is breached and holds by Friday then I will relax and have confidence that the downward swing will reverse.

Mr67 I agree this share is very undervalued, it has strong cash, good hold on debt levels and revenue growth. The divi is also not bad. I have a short term target of £8.25, but that's purely cos I do short term trades. Once the markets leave this share alone and people see the true value then it will rise, £8.50 and above is a very healthy profit if you have the nerve to wait and that should be a no brained. Gla