Something we may forget!!5 Apr 2022 19:58
First... I am in a LTH position, but not posting to de/ramping... just my opinion and welcome comments.
NCM are like a rabid hyena.... they will get what they want themselves or scare others away with force!!.... They have shareholders too and need to deliver the best value, in January their shares were down nearly 30% from a high of $38 in July 2019, now trading at $27. It's obvious that they want all of a world class asset like Havieron to suck it dry and milk the Oz. for themselves and so, will go the extra mile to reduce the cost they pay for it... they will undervalue the asset (not including the MRE) in their results as it weakens their position both in the 5% discussions and (IMO) the bargaining power when they look to take 100% of what is a beautiful deposit... and they know it!...
I believe in SD we have a wiley CEO that I hope will drive an incredibly hard bargain! and on the opposite side in SB, a tough and wiley businessman that is in a david v goliath position of arrogance... we all know the story I am sure, and I hope it pans out that way. My one concern as a shareholder, is that in the recent LSE video interview, SD didn't comment much about shareholder value, for a long term holder I want confidence that he has this at the forefront of his thinking and on that I am just not sure.
The RNS today about SW had to be posted... it's true... they found gold and hitting 4/7 cores is a good result, if not great analysis - I have seen cores (not from GGP) where 2 cores 10m apart produced 0.4g and 6.2g respectively... as the old saying goes "there's gold in them there hills"... gold is gold and lets see how it looks when they get 1-200 cores to review if they vioew it as justified.
I do get the depressed SP... the market in general wants to see traction and the DFS later in the year and a resolution to the final %'s that GGP will be left with.... a holding in an asset is better than cash IMO... especially in a world class asset like Hav.
Patience is a virtue.... just hope i have enough to see it through!.. thoughts appreciated!!
As always DYOR, GLA.
ND.