Daily Telegraph14 Jan 2015 06:37
Hold Mondi as defensive shares defy downturn:
Mondi was one of the leading shares in the U.K.’s blue chip index, with investors buying into the positive outlook for the packaging group as prices for its products rise and energy costs fall. The FTSE 100-listed, Africa-based packaging giant saw its shares gain 2.3% after strong demand and steady prices across the sector were identified in a Credit Suisse research note. The company will also enjoy the benefit from falling energy costs at its factories across Europe. The packaging sector is one that is often overlooked by investors but it supplies some of the most stable companies in the world, such as Procter & Gamble, Nestle and Unilever. These companies need packaging for consumer goods such as washing powder, toothpaste and tinned goods on supermarket shelves. In the past four years Mondi has increased profits and more than tripled the dividend. Analysts from Credit Suisse are expecting pretax profit to increase to €695 million, giving earnings per share of 95 cents and a dividend of 30 cents in next week’s results. What’s more, they expect underlying operating profits, earnings and dividend to increase to €700 million, 113 cents and 45 cents respectively in the year ahead. Over the past 10 years, Mondi has spent €3 billion upgrading and modernising its paper mills, hence the group now has a portfolio of well-invested low-cost mills in emerging economies. More than half of Mondi’s sales come from emerging economies such as Russia, Slovakia, Czech Republic, Poland and South Africa, where Mondi is benefiting from higher growth in demand for paper, compared to depressed Western European markets. The company is enjoying strong pricing for its products and falling costs. But with shares once again moving toward record highs of £11.23, we downgrade to a hold. Mondi at £10.67+18p Questor Says ‘Hold’.