Rns due ....17 Apr 2017 12:37
Hopefully we should get one tomorrow morning as it is kind of overdue. Surely an increase in production n a receipt of $8m is enough to justify an rns according to market rules so it's important the bod keep momentum going so the market continues to re-rate the shares. Looking long n hard over the weekend I think it's key to remember a few points, firstly all this production is not elands and they have 40-45% of more or less everything that's due to come online from op-1-3-7 and g-1 and finally ubima. Secondly it's pretty safe to say the risk is very much limited as they are partnered with a state controlled company so there won't be too many illegal activities occurring as with afren which was a billion dollar company with many fishy dealings taking place to fool the market. I think currently we are looking at 11500 bopd with 6000 bopd coming online from
Op-7 in 8 weeks time roughly. 17500 bopd with 40-45% is say 8000 bopd. Now if they hit the g-1 target 7000 bopd ( very likely ) and ubima 2500 bopd ( probably new year) than you have a company producing 11,000-12,000 bopd net. This will in comparison to other oil stocks be a £200m market cap minimum so roughly £1.10-1.20 a share. With no debt and cash in the bank I would add another 10% making it £1.30 by year end. This is with oil staying at $52 average. Remember there are low shares in issue and free float is also low all pointing to a higher rating. The key to eland is to demonstrate this and hit production targets. I also did not mention the fercados terminal opening, once they got these targets and go in to the new year with cash , production and a drill programme for the 6 wells at guebetkin field then 50,000 bopd by year end 2018 is very very possible and a £6 share price would be just the start as this would only value us at £1billion. Really is game changing stuff here for the the 18 months. Good luck in whatever you do. Holding here is the key.