Investors Chronicle Sonora Investment TRR31 Jan 2023 07:56
Value creation in two major lithium projects
Management’s strategy is to provide exposure to a balanced mix of base, battery, precious and bulk metals. Post the aforementioned disposal, Tamesis risked net asset value (NAV) estimate by commodity is spilt as follows: lithium (41 per cent), gold (34 per cent), copper (10 per cent), iron ore (2 per cent) and cash (13 per cent). Trident’s lithium projects could be real game-changers this year.
That’s because the soon-to-be-boosted cash balance should enable Trident to exercise its option over the Sonora lithium royalty in Mexico without having to turn to equity markets. The outstanding payment for the effective 1.5 per cent gross revenue royalty (GRR) is $23.5m. Tamesis currently values the Sonora royalty at $2.5m (0.7p a share), being the value of the deposit paid and fully recoverable in most circumstances under the loan structure.
However, analysts at the broking house point out that if the option is exercised, it would add $82.6mn (22.6p per share) to their overall un-risked NAV per share of 81.5p, lifting it above 100p. The project’s operator, Ganfeng Lithium, has recently commenced construction, thus increasing the likelihood of Trident’s option being exercised. The other hurdle is the forthcoming court hearing to appeal the validity of the royalty, expected in the next few months. I anticipate a favourable outcome, a factor that is not reflected in Trident’s share price, which is trading well below Tamesis’ un-risked NAV estimates.