Member Info for MrRipley

What’s the panic Luke? With all this talk of we should be this or we should be that, we’re 130 odd. So why so much stress about people’s opinions on how high the SP should be? You seem to be in the hate lofty predictions, don’t mind posts telling us it’s going sub £1, camp. How come?

That was pre spread bet days. They were snug in an isa thanks. (You can check my history…. PL warned me off it and I decided not to listen. Sorry PL). And what’s funny is I don’t over leverage and never have. Because I’m not a gambler, but your losses are real. Not one of those stocks ever recovered. Which is why you haunt this board trying to trade yourself into 63000 percent returns. And whats even funnier is in the incredibly unlikely scenario that we got catastrophic news here that Sir Alan had messed up and swapped AVA6000 for bleach, the money I use to stay solvent in my SB on drops is held outside it and would be completely safe as my bet would simply be slammed shut and loses limited. So you see, I’m just all round smarter than you are at this. And I’ve been doing it nowhere near as long. I’ve even made a lovely little pot the past few days on recovery stocks via SBs (insert maniacal laughter here). Christ you’re a loser.

Its certainly gambling when you choose extremely high risk shares. For instance.

Put 10k in a share. Oops. No helium. Down 60%.

Take the 4K left, what it in ADV……and ooops. Down 95% in one moment.

But it’s fine. Here’s another binary bet…. So the last 200 quid goes on SNG but they have had a nightmare. Ooooooooops. Down 92%. So that’ll be 16 quid left. It’s ok, only need to find a share with a 630 fold increase in price or a mere 63,000% to get back to square one. So you take what you have left and you stick in it Harl and tadaaaaaaaaaaa…….. you go into odd bins and buy a £9 bottle of their strongest paint stripper with what’s left.

And guess what…. That’s not even what gamblers do. They’ll keep topping up that 10k on each duster to get it back to 10k to make the drops even more incredible.

But it’s ok. Because you come through all of the above with the sense that you can somehow dish out advice about when and where to place and pull trades. Ladies and gentlemen; The story of Wyndrum. The most arrogant loser there ever was.

He’s trying to recoup loses from elsewhere like a gambler does Bein.

RD…. Absolutely spot on.

Don’t worry Bein…. We’re saved.

“AACR is the Oscars of oncology - it will get noticed”

I don’t mind oph by and large. But really??!

“And the winner of the longest delay 2023…. Goes to…. Sir Alan for “mid summer 2022””

Part of me hopes we do find MTD soon so we can move the F on from all this haha. Obviously the other part wants it to be a miracle of extremely low side effects even in bucket loads.

Jesus Christ who cares! This is just a ****ging match now.

I actually agree with your statement from yesterday that it’s already started Timster. Otherwise what is the hold up.

Losing?

They’re spending it on putting a $1.5bn soon to be a potentially much more lucrative prodrug through clinical trial. So they’re not losing it are they, they’re investing it in their progression towards becoming a multi multi billion pound biotech.

You also haven’t factored in Launch diagnostics revenue or any potential milestone payments.

What have you lost so far on your short?

You did claim at one point to be 55% down at around 70p. So why didn’t you sell on the last rise around 1.6 and get out even from your imaginary holding?

“Nicolas870
Posted in: AVCT
Posts: 63
Price: 61.00
No Opinion
RE: Blue Finish11 Feb 2022 17:37
It did not close anywhere near blue and will collapse another 7-10% on Monday. Thanks to AS who should resign.”

There’s none really Bein. Discussing a shares potential is quite literally what this board is for. If some are overly positive then fine, because there’s enough that are overly negative to calling for Alastair Smith to walk the plank. A lot of assumptions made, but RAH and Myles bring an awful lot to the table.

I can basically sum this whole thread up with one quote;

“If it weighs the same as a duck, it’s made of wood, and therefore, a Witch!”

Which institutional investors? The ones who haven’t yet bought in, or the ones who haven’t sold?

I have to be honest starbright…. You’re not making any sense in terms of what your point is. It is that you think RAH is wrong and actually sales will be higher (for STS alone, since that’s the calc he’s using, not a percentage of the entire 1.5bn pa dox market) or that you think the sales will be lower…. But as your last post, you think it’ll be higher….. it feels a bit like dancing around to say his numbers are too high, but you think they should be higher, but based on a different calculation.

I’ve got a major issue with all of these calculation, yours included SB….. AVA6000 is labelled as the pathfinder drug; it opens up the gateway for all of pre|CISION since it’s the same tech applied to multiple drugs. Their entire addressable market (which if acquired by large pharma would be realised a lot faster than by Avacta) is something like $52bn. That’s one platform. It doesn’t take into account TMAC, which is part pre|CISION but with Affimers added in. Which takes you into Affimers within diagnostics and Launch. Then there’s the partnerships with POINT, LG and Daewoong. So everyone’s calculations here make no sense at all because it’s the equivalent of valuing a house based on just one of its walls. What about the rest of it?

Is this just some kind of weird ****ing contest then really where everyone is focused on cog in the whole machine? Because if it is then the lot of you are taking a lot of ****e

“Clearly they are not. They are paying for the $10bn pa of revenues that they expect Seagen to generate in the future.”

Doesn’t match up to

“Let's assume Avacta gets AVA6k up and running, and has sales of $300m (a market share of 20%) at the end of its first year in commercialisation.”

So you’re saying they should pay for Seagen future revenues, but not Avactas future revenues? If you’re saying they should pay for future then you’d need to adjust that 20% to 100% as Dr Tap suggested and you’d need to change the $1.5bn to $3-5bn since the dox market will grow as it’s use is broadened. So essentially you agree with RAH and so you can stop jumping on his every post regarding finance and absolutely none of his posts regarding the science. I’m yet to see you jump in Beins posts or Jive turkeys when discussing the science either. But then…. It’s not about the science is it…..

Wouldn’t you agree there Wyn. Nice of you to pop in. Looks like you had a riot over at HARL today. Big thumbs up.

21% down in a month is ridiculous now. Todays drop is the market playing on peoples fears. I suspect there will be a rebound starting from around here as the effect weekends news coverage cools and those gripped with the fear from the continued drop from £2 plus are washed out and buyers who see this as a solid recovery play, as it was during covid times, step in.

The ******* list is turning into a tapestry.

This week really is becoming a make a twat out of the FUD twat team isn’t it.

2p off the bid for one small trade…. Playing on wider market sentiment here.

Meanwhile… the wider market is ****ting the bed.

“Tech firms reveal SVB exposure

More than 40 stock market-listed companies have this morning issued statements on their exposure to SVB UK, highlighting the significance of this morning’s rescue package.”

From the evening standard.

So more than 40 firms taking part in the ridiculously labelled “amateur hour” it would seem….

Agreed Energy and PL. This kind of comms should be championed. There’s been plenty of major red days that could have been avoided with a simple RNS like this.